The Utah State Aggies take on the Texas A&M Aggies in College Station, Texas. Kickoff is set for 12:45 p.m. ET on SEC Network.
Texas A&M is favored by -31.5 points on the spread with a moneyline of -10000. The total is set at 54.5 points.
Here’s my Utah State vs. Texas A&M predictions and college football picks for Saturday, September 6, 2025.


Utah State vs Texas A&M Prediction
- Utah State vs. Texas A&M Pick: Over 54.5
My Texas A&M vs. Utah State best bet is on the over. Find the best line available on our live NCAAF odds page.
Utah State vs Texas A&M Odds
Utah State Odds | ||
---|---|---|
Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+31.5 -108 | 54.5 -105o / -115u | +3000 |
Texas A&M Odds | ||
---|---|---|
Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-31.5 -112 | 54.5 -105o / -115u | -10000 |
- Utah State vs Texas A&M point spread: Texas A&M -31.5
- Utah State vs Texas A&M over/under: 54.5 points
- Utah State vs Texas A&M moneyline: Utah State +3000, Texas A&M -10000

Utah State vs Texas A&M Pick, Betting Analysis
After an encouraging win over UTSA in Week 1, Marcel Reed and No. 19 Texas A&M look to remain unbeaten when they face 1-0 Utah State.
A&M faces top-10 Notre Dame next week before flipping into SEC play, so it may use this week as a tune-up.
Regardless, four Evan Abrams systems are lighting up on this over.
The most notable system is Evan Abrams' "Big Spread, Low Total, Over."
In both regular season and postseason college football, large home favorites in non-conference matchups often create conditions for higher scoring than the market anticipates.
When the point spread is wide but the total is set low, it signals expectations of a dominant performance by one side while undervaluing their ability to score quickly and consistently.
Non-conference games can feature mismatches in talent and depth, leading to offensive surges and late scoring from backups against overmatched defenses. This combination often pushes the total over despite conservative pregame projections.
There are three other systems lighting up on this play, including "Unfamiliar Blowout Overs, No Wind," "Unfamiliar Blowout Overs" and "Weather NCAAF Overs."
Pick: Over 54.5