Virginia vs. Georgia Tech College Football Odds, Prediction: Data Since 2005 Shows Spread Pick Has 12% ROI

Virginia vs. Georgia Tech College Football Odds, Prediction: Data Since 2005 Shows Spread Pick Has 12% ROI article feature image
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Photo by Justin Casterline/Getty Images. Pictured: Brennan Armstrong (Virginia)

Virginia vs. Georgia Tech Odds

Virginia Odds+3.5 (-122)
Georgia Tech Odds-3.5 (+100)
Over/Under47.5 (o -108 / u-112)
DateThursday, October 20
Time7:30 p.m. ET
ChannelESPN

*Odds via FanDuel as of Thursday morning

The Action Network has developed a betting system with data tracing back to 2005 that fits a spread pick on tonight's game between Virginia and Georgia Tech.

This pick has a 12% return on investment since the Bush administration for a record of 287-211-9. The specific parameters of this algorithm only apply to roughly 25 games per year — including tonight's contest.

If you had bet $100 on each game that has fit the betting trend since 2005, you'd be up about $5,000. That's roughly $300 per year.

And this is across a substantial sample size: 500 or so games over the past 17 seasons.

The proprietary betting system incorporates public tracking data also proprietary to the Action Network. The philosophy behind the algorithm is simple: Fade retail bettors.

We don't recommend using this betting algorithm as an alternative to investing — variance is a much sturdier constraint in sports gambling compared to the financial markets — but similar principles apply in regard to gains over a long time horizon.

For instance, this system has a 12% annual return on investment. The S&P 500 — the approximate value of the American stock market — has risen an average of 8% over that same timeframe.

Virginia vs. Georgia Tech Betting System Pick