Wilson: The College Football Conference Championship Game I Bet Right Away


Brian Westerholt-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Appalachian State celebration

Dec 04, 2019, 09:30 AM EST

Initial betting action on the college football conference championship games was furious in the aftermath of Week 14. The Pac-12 opened with Utah -3.5 at Levi’s Stadium against Oregon before one-sided action pounded the Utes to -6.5. Central Michigan briefly opened at -2.5 before a slew of wagers drove the MAC Championship all the way to -6.5 against Miami of Ohio.

The Big 12, Big Ten and AAC will have rematches for their conference title games. While those two Power Five conferences will be at a neutral site, Memphis will host the Bearcats in a rematch seven days after the initial meeting as a 10-point favorite. The Tigers closed as a two touchdown favorites on Friday and won by 10 despite three turnovers by the Bearcats.

Baylor covered as a 10.5-point underdog at home against Oklahoma in Week 12. Just a short three weeks later, the Bears are a 9.5-point underdog at a neutral site in Arlington.

There may have been an over-adjustment in the Big Ten.

Ohio State closed a 14.5-point underdog against Wisconsin at home on October 26th. The Action Network home field advantage for the Buckeyes is 2.7, but oddsmakers have been known to adjust 5 points for games at the Horseshoe.

The neutral site point spread for the Big Ten rematch is Ohio State -17, indicating a swing of almost a full touchdown since the Badgers traveled to Columbus five weeks ago.

As I always do on Sunday, I used our power ratings to bet a few conference championship openers. One game particularly drew my interest and received multiple wagers.

Let’s take a look at one of my favorite early bets of the week. Stay tuned for much more betting coverage in the run-up to Friday night, and follow me in The Action Network app for all my early bets and bets closer to kickoff.

College Football Early Bet and Projected Spreads