Chiefs vs. Broncos Predictions: Best NFL Player Props, First TD & Anytime TD Scorer Picks

The Polymarket promo code (ACTION) is perfect to use on Sunday's AFC West showdown, and these Chiefs vs. Broncos predictions round up our best NFL prop bets today.

• The Chiefs arrive 5-1 after a 20-3 loss at Seattle in which they never reached the red zone, but Kenneth Walker III leads the NFL in rushing and ran for 173 yards against Denver in Week 1.
• The Broncos are 5-2 with three straight wins and a 3-0 record at home, and Bo Nix ran for a 62-yard touchdown in last week's 30-16 win at Arizona.

Here is our full table of Chiefs vs. Broncos predictions, built from the best NFL player props on the Polymarket board, one of the best prediction markets for football, before we break down every trade.

Read our dedicated Polymarket review to learn more, or check out more prediction market promo codes for other platforms.

Chiefs vs. Broncos Predictions: Best NFL Player Props

Every pick below is a real trade we'd make on one of the best prediction market apps, part of our best NFL player props for this NFL matchup, grouped by market: touchdowns first, then passing yards, then rushing yards.

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Chiefs vs. Broncos Prediction: Kenneth Walker Anytime Touchdown Prop

Walker has eight touchdowns this season, six on the ground and two through the air, and he found the end zone in the opener against Denver on his way to two total scores.

Anytime touchdown contracts on Polymarket count every touchdown a player scores except passing touchdowns, so his rushing and receiving work both count toward this ticket. That dual-threat role is a big reason he's the clear favorite on the board.

The board shows 58%, but this ticket fills at a 58.88¢ average, so we use the higher number in the table.

On the ticket itself, a $100 buy at a 58.88¢ average price works out to roughly 170 shares, and the gap between that raw share value and Polymarket's stated $165.11 return reflects normal order book depth and fees, not an error.

• If Walker scores a touchdown: this ticket returns $165.11.
• If he doesn't: the $100 stake is a total loss.

About 1.65x on the return, which is a fair price for the player most likely to score in this game.

Chiefs vs. Broncos Prediction: Jonah Coleman Anytime Touchdown Prop

At 30%, the market makes Coleman the likeliest Denver player to score, just ahead of J.K. Dobbins and Courtland Sutton at 29% each.

Denver averages about 20.6 points per game and ranks 29th in offensive success rate, so touchdowns are scarce and this is a bet on goal-line volume rather than a big-play profile. His workload grew in his first game back from the ankle injury, which helps the case.

A $100 buy at a 30¢ average price works out to roughly 333 shares, and the gap between that raw share value and Polymarket's stated $317.86 return reflects normal order book depth and fees, not an error.

• If Coleman scores a touchdown: this ticket returns $317.86.
• If he doesn't: the $100 stake is a total loss.

A little over 3.1x on the return, and the board price and the ticket match exactly at 30¢.

Chiefs vs. Broncos Prediction: J.K. Dobbins Anytime Touchdown Prop

Dobbins leads Denver in rushing yards and has three touchdowns on 87 carries, but he is averaging just 3.4 yards per carry, which makes his scoring a function of short-yardage and goal-line work.

Kansas City's run defense is the toughest test in the league on a per-play basis, so the path to Yes is a short field, not a long run. That is why this price sits right alongside Coleman's.

On the ticket itself, a $100 buy at a 29¢ average price works out to roughly 345 shares, and the gap between that raw share value and Polymarket's stated $328.62 return reflects normal order book depth and fees, not an error.

• If Dobbins scores a touchdown: this ticket returns $328.62.
• If he doesn't: the $100 stake is a total loss.

More than 3.2x on the return for a back who has been Denver's most consistent finisher near the goal line.

Chiefs vs. Broncos Prediction: Courtland Sutton Anytime Touchdown Prop

Courtland Sutton has 168 receiving yards through seven games, and with Jaylen Waddle nursing a chest injury and Marvin Mims Jr. questionable with an ankle issue, Denver's receiving group is thinner than usual.

Nix has only seven touchdown passes all season, which is why this price stays below 30%, but Sutton's size makes him a natural target if the Broncos get inside the 20.

Buying $100 at a 29¢ average price works out to roughly 345 shares, and the gap between that raw share value and Polymarket's stated $328.62 return reflects normal order book depth and fees, not an error.

• If Sutton scores a touchdown: this ticket returns $328.62.
• If he doesn't: the $100 stake is a total loss.

Another return of more than 3.2x, built on target concentration rather than volume.

Chiefs vs. Broncos Prediction: Travis Kelce Anytime Touchdown Prop

Travis Kelce leads Kansas City with 343 receiving yards on 24 catches and has two touchdowns, and he moved into fifth place on the NFL's all-time receptions list last week.

His ankle was a full participant on Wednesday and limited on Thursday, and he's expected to play. The board shows 27%, but the ticket fills at a 27.96¢ average, so we use that in the table.

On the ticket itself, a $100 buy at a 27.96¢ average price works out to roughly 358 shares, and the gap between that raw share value and Polymarket's stated $340.60 return reflects normal order book depth and fees, not an error.

• If Kelce scores a touchdown: this ticket returns $340.60.
• If he doesn't: the $100 stake is a total loss.

Better than 3.4x on the return for Mahomes's most trusted target.

Chiefs vs. Broncos Prediction: Xavier Worthy Anytime Touchdown Prop

Xavier Worthy has 24 catches for 217 yards and a touchdown through six games, and he was Kansas City's top wideout in last week's loss at Seattle.

His price has slid 7% on the board, the biggest drop on the screen, which may reflect Rashee Rice potentially returning and taking targets. If Rice is limited again, Worthy could see a bigger share of a thin receiver room.

A $100 buy at a 25.19¢ average price works out to roughly 397 shares, and the gap between that raw share value and Polymarket's stated $377.40 return reflects normal order book depth and fees, not an error.

• If Worthy scores a touchdown: this ticket returns $377.40.
• If he doesn't: the $100 stake is a total loss.

Nearly 3.8x on the return, the longest price among our picks.

Chiefs vs. Broncos Prediction: Bo Nix 200+ Passing Yards Prop

This one asks for more than Bo Nix's season average, since he has thrown for 1,271 yards in seven games, or roughly 182 per game, and Denver ranks 30th in passing success rate.

The case for Yes is recent form and game script. Nix threw for 222 yards in last week's 30-16 win at Arizona with a season-high 9.4 air yards per attempt, and if Walker keeps Kansas City's offense on the field, Denver may need to throw late.

Jaylen Waddle's chest injury adds uncertainty, and Kansas City's defense allows the second-fewest points per game, so treat this as a volume bet. Polymarket's board shows 55% on the Yes side, but the ticket fills at a higher average price, so we use that in the table.

Purchasing $100 at a 57.85¢ average price works out to roughly 173 shares, and the gap between that raw share value and Polymarket's stated $167.94 return reflects normal order book depth and fees, not an error.

• If Nix throws for 200 or more yards: this ticket returns $167.94.
• If he doesn't: the $100 stake is a total loss.

Roughly 1.7x on the return, a modest price for a quarterback who has cleared the number in his most recent start.

Chiefs vs. Broncos Prediction: Patrick Mahomes 250+ Passing Yards Prop

Patrick Mahomes has thrown for 1,474 yards in six games, roughly 246 per game, so this number sits right at his average even though the market only gives it 38%.

The bounce-back angle is real. He managed just 165 yards in the 20-3 loss at Seattle, Kansas City never reached the red zone, and a return from Rashee Rice, who was limited in practice this week, would give him another receiver.

The other side is Denver's pass rush, which leads the NFL in PFF pass rush grade, and Mahomes is working with a career-low average depth of target. Polymarket's board shows 38%, but the ticket fills at a 38.9¢ average, so we use that number in the table.

A $100 buy at a 38.9¢ average price works out to roughly 257 shares, and the gap between that raw share value and Polymarket's stated $246.58 return reflects normal order book depth and fees, not an error.

• If Mahomes throws for 250 or more yards: this ticket returns $246.58.
• If he doesn't: the $100 stake is a total loss.

Nearly 2.5x on the return, a longer price on a number that matches his season average.

Chiefs vs. Broncos Prediction: Kenneth Walker 80+ Rushing Yards Prop

Kenneth Walker III is the engine of this Kansas City offense, leading the NFL with 701 rushing yards, or 116.8 per game, while the Chiefs rank second in rushing EPA.

He also has history against this exact defense, running for 173 yards on 23 carries in Kansas City's 31-10 win in Week 1. Last week's 14-carry, 36-yard game at Seattle was his quietest of the year, and a Chiefs team coming off a 20-3 loss has every reason to lean on him again.

The risk is a Denver defense that ranks fifth in DVOA, so this is not a gimme. Polymarket's board shows 58%, but the ticket fills at a higher average price, so we use it in the table.

Make a $100 buy at a 60.39¢ average price works out to roughly 166 shares, and the gap between that raw share value and Polymarket's stated $161.14 return reflects normal order book depth and fees, not an error.

• If Walker clears 80 rushing yards: this ticket returns $161.14.
• If he doesn't: the $100 stake is a total loss.

It's the shortest payout on the board at just over 1.6x, but it's built on the most reliable workload in this game.

Chiefs vs. Broncos Prediction: Jonah Coleman 40+ Rushing Yards Prop

Jonah Coleman is Denver's rookie back who returned last week after missing four games with a high ankle sprain, and he ran nine times for 54 yards against Arizona.

Denver piled up a season-high 159 rushing yards in that game, and RJ Harvey showed up on Thursday's injury report with a knee issue. If Harvey is limited, Coleman's share of the carries could grow alongside J.K. Dobbins, who has 293 yards on 87 attempts.

Kansas City ranks second in run success rate allowed, so this is a workload bet more than an efficiency bet. Polymarket's board shows 49%, but the ticket fills at a 49.97¢ average, so that's the figure in the table.

On the ticket itself, a $100 buy at a 49.97¢ average price works out to roughly 200 shares, and the gap between that raw share value and Polymarket's stated $193.40 return reflects normal order book depth and fees, not an error.

• If Coleman reaches 40 rushing yards: this ticket returns $193.40.
• If he doesn't: the $100 stake is a total loss.

Just under 2x on the return, and the price is close to a coin flip.

Chiefs vs. Broncos Predictions: Moneyline, Spread and Total

Before the board dives into player props, here's where these Chiefs vs. Broncos predictions stand on the base game lines, with Kansas City a slim favorite and a low total of 40.5.

Chiefs vs. Broncos Predictions: Full Anytime TD Scorer Market

Our anytime TD scorer predictions below cover every player on the Polymarket board, sorted from the safest bet down to the deepest longshot.

• Kenneth Walker (Anytime Touchdown 1+: Yes 58%): the NFL's leading rusher with eight touchdowns and the clear lead back in Kansas City's offense.
• Jonah Coleman (Anytime Touchdown 1+: Yes 30%): Denver's top-priced scorer, back from a high ankle sprain with a growing share of the carries.
• J.K. Dobbins (Anytime Touchdown 1+: Yes 29%): three touchdowns on 87 carries this season, mostly short-yardage work.
• Courtland Sutton (Anytime Touchdown 1+: Yes 29%): Denver's veteran target with Jaylen Waddle's chest injury still a question mark.
• Travis Kelce (Anytime Touchdown 1+: Yes 27%): leads Kansas City with 343 receiving yards and has two touchdowns this season.
• Xavier Worthy (Anytime Touchdown 1+: Yes 25%): one touchdown on the year, with a price that dropped 7% on the board.
• RJ Harvey (Anytime Touchdown 1+: Yes 18%): caught a 52-yard screen pass for a score last week, though a knee issue showed up on Thursday's injury report.
• Troy Franklin (Anytime Touchdown 1+: Yes 17%): a Denver wideout whose price ticked up 1% on the board.
• Evan Engram (Anytime Touchdown 1+: Yes 16%): a tight end in a Denver offense that has just seven touchdown passes all year.
• Marvin Mims Jr. (Anytime Touchdown 1+: Yes 16%): questionable with an ankle injury, so check his status before trading.
• Bo Nix (Anytime Touchdown 1+: Yes 14%): ran 62 yards for a score last week, and anytime touchdown contracts count every score except passing touchdowns.
• Patrick Mahomes (Anytime Touchdown 1+: Yes 13%): ran for a touchdown in the Week 1 meeting between these teams.
• Noah Gray (Anytime Touchdown 1+: Yes 10%): a depth tight end behind Kelce, priced as a longshot.

Chiefs vs. Broncos Predictions: Full First TD Scorer Market

Here are our first TD scorer predictions for the full Polymarket board, where only one player on the field can cash.

• Kenneth Walker (First Touchdown Scorer: Yes 20%): the clear favorite as Kansas City's lead back, and he scored in the opener against Denver.
• No Touchdown Scored (First Touchdown Scorer: Yes 13%): the market's way of pricing a defensive slugfest, with a 40.5 total and a Chiefs offense that never reached the red zone last week.
• J.K. Dobbins (First Touchdown Scorer: Yes 11%): Denver's leading rusher and a goal-line option.
• Jonah Coleman (First Touchdown Scorer: Yes 10%): a rookie back with a growing role in Denver's backfield.
• Travis Kelce (First Touchdown Scorer: Yes 9%): Kansas City's top receiving target in scoring range.
• Courtland Sutton (First Touchdown Scorer: Yes 8%): Denver's most likely receiver to find the end zone first with Waddle uncertain.
• Xavier Worthy (First Touchdown Scorer: Yes 7%): a speed threat whose price fell 3% on the board.
• RJ Harvey (First Touchdown Scorer: Yes 6%): a change-of-pace back with a knee issue on the report.
• Bo Nix (First Touchdown Scorer: Yes 5%): scramble and sneak equity after a 62-yard touchdown run last week.
• Evan Engram (First Touchdown Scorer: Yes 5%): a tight end option in a passing game that ranks 30th in success rate.

Chiefs vs. Broncos Predictions: Full QB Passing Props

Our best NFL player props for the two starting quarterbacks focus on passing yards, with both numbers sitting close to each quarterback's season average.

• Bo Nix (Passing Yards 200+: Yes 55%): he topped this number last week with 222 yards, though he averages about 182 per game.
• Patrick Mahomes (Passing Yards 250+: Yes 38%): his season average is roughly 246, but Denver's pass rush leads the league in PFF grade.

Chiefs vs. Broncos Predictions: Full Receiving Yards Props

• Travis Kelce (Receiving Yards 40+: Yes 62%): leads Kansas City with 343 yards and a bar this low fits his role in the middle of the field.
• Noah Gray (Receiving Yards 10+: Yes 62%): a low floor for Kansas City's secondary tight end.
• Xavier Worthy (Receiving Yards 30+: Yes 58%): averaging about 36 yards per game, so this number sits just below his typical output.
• Evan Engram (Receiving Yards 20+: Yes 53%): a modest number for Denver's tight end, whose price fell 3% on the board.
• Kenneth Walker (Receiving Yards 20+: Yes 51%): adds value as a pass catcher, with four catches for 21 yards last week.

Chiefs vs. Broncos Predictions: Full Rushing Yards Props

• J.K. Dobbins (Rushing Yards 20+: Yes 59%): has 293 yards in seven games, about 42 per game.
• Kenneth Walker (Rushing Yards 80+: Yes 58%): leads the league at 116.8 yards per game and ran for 173 against Denver in Week 1.
• Jonah Coleman (Rushing Yards 40+: Yes 49%): needs a bigger workload than the nine carries he had last week.
• Bo Nix (Rushing Yards 20+: Yes 44%): ran for 73 yards last week but managed just two in the Week 1 loss to Kansas City.

Chiefs vs. Broncos Predictions: What's Moving the Market

Prediction markets and prices can move for several reasons, which is why the best NFL prop bets today can shift before kickoff. The headline number is Kansas City sliding to about 52% on the moneyline after trading well above 60% earlier in the window, a steady drift toward a coin flip with Denver's winning streak and the Chiefs' 20-3 loss at Seattle both in the background.

On the touchdown boards, Walker's price ticked up 1% while Kelce slipped 4% and Xavier Worthy fell 7%, the biggest drop on the screen, which may reflect Rashee Rice's potential return from a hamstring injury. That is the main reason our anytime TD scorer predictions lean on Walker and Denver's backfield rather than Kansas City's wideouts.

The spread and total keep the picture tight, with Kansas City at 49% to win by more than 1.5 points and the Over at 49.5% on a 40.5 total. That points to a low-scoring game, which is also why our first TD scorer predictions note a 13% price on No Touchdown Scored.

How to Trade Chiefs vs. Broncos Predictions on Polymarket

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1. Read a comprehensive Polymarket review to understand how this exchange operates.
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Final Thoughts: Chiefs vs. Broncos Predictions

Kansas City and Denver are priced almost as a coin flip, and the best NFL prop bets today reflect that, with Kenneth Walker anchoring the safest tickets on the board and Denver's backfield carrying most of the touchdown value on the other side.

The Broncos' defense and the Chiefs' run game are the two strengths that should shape this one, which is why our Chiefs vs. Broncos predictions lean on rushing and anytime touchdown trades over big passing numbers.

That wraps our full list of first TD scorer predictions, anytime TD scorer predictions and every other pick we'd make on the Polymarket board for this AFC West showdown.

Chiefs vs. Broncos Predictions – FAQs

Who wins in the Chiefs vs. Broncos predictions on Polymarket? The Polymarket board has Kansas City at about 52% to win outright against 48% for Denver, with the Chiefs priced at 49% to win by more than 1.5 points.

What are the best NFL player props in the Chiefs vs. Broncos predictions? Our best NFL player props lean on Kenneth Walker's rushing yards and anytime touchdown, Bo Nix's passing yards, and touchdown tickets for Jonah Coleman, J.K. Dobbins, Courtland Sutton, Travis Kelce and Xavier Worthy.

What are the best anytime TD scorer predictions for Chiefs vs. Broncos? Kenneth Walker leads the anytime touchdown board at 58%, followed by Jonah Coleman at 30%, then J.K. Dobbins and Courtland Sutton at 29% each.

What are the best first TD scorer predictions for Chiefs vs. Broncos? Kenneth Walker is the favorite to score first at 20%, with No Touchdown Scored next at 13% and J.K. Dobbins at 11%.

How do I claim the Polymarket promo code for this game? Sign up through the links in this article, complete a qualifying deposit, and follow the prompts to apply the promo code before you place your first trade.

How do Polymarket NFL player prop contracts work? Each contract resolves Yes if the player hits the stated threshold in this game and No if he does not. Shares bought at a given price pay out one dollar each if the contract resolves in your favor, and nothing if it doesn't.

Do anytime touchdown contracts include passing touchdowns? No. Anytime touchdown contracts on Polymarket count every touchdown a player scores except passing touchdowns, so rushing, receiving, return and fumble-recovery scores all count.

What channel are the Chiefs vs. Broncos on? The game airs on CBS in the Sunday afternoon window from Empower Field at Mile High in Denver.