The Polymarket promo code (ACTION) is perfect to use on World Series Game 1, and this Rays vs. Brewers prediction rounds up our Jacob Misiorowski player props.
- The Brewers arrive with a franchise-record 103 wins and a four-game NLCS sweep of the two-time defending champion Dodgers, and they host Game 1 at American Family Field.
- The Rays own the best record in the American League after sweeping the Yankees and beating the Guardians in six games, and they send veteran Nick Martinez to the mound.
Here is our full Misiorowski picks table from one of the best prediction markets, before we break down our top strikeout pick and every other pitching prop on the board.
| ⚾ World Series Prediction | 🏷️ Position | Price | 🤑 Return on $100 | 📈 Trade It |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Misiorowski 5+ Strikeouts | Yes | 83¢ | $119.07 | Trade it on Polymarket! |
| Jacob Misiorowski 6+ Strikeouts | Yes | 70¢ | $139.94 | Trade it on Polymarket! |
| Jacob Misiorowski 4+ Hits Allowed | Yes | 53¢ | $182.71 | Trade it on Polymarket! |
| Jacob Misiorowski 7+ Strikeouts | Yes | 52¢ | $186.09 | Trade it on Polymarket! |
| Jacob Misiorowski 17+ Outs Recorded | Yes | 52¢ | $186.09 | Trade it on Polymarket! |
| Jacob Misiorowski 2+ Walks Allowed | Yes | 44¢ | $218.75 | Trade it on Polymarket! |
| Jacob Misiorowski 2+ Earned Runs Allowed | Yes | 41¢ | $234.29 | Trade it on Polymarket! |
| Jacob Misiorowski 8+ Strikeouts | Yes | 38¢ | $252.28 | Trade it on Polymarket! |
| Jacob Misiorowski 9+ Strikeouts | Yes | 24¢ | $395.75 | Trade it on Polymarket! |
| Jacob Misiorowski 10+ Strikeouts | Yes | 14¢ | $674.00 | Trade it on Polymarket! |
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Jacob Misiorowski Player Props: Our Best Polymarket Picks for Game 1
Every pick below is a real trade we'd make on one of the best prediction market apps, part of our best MLB player props today for the TB vs MIL matchup, built around one featured strikeout line from our Jacob Misiorowski player props.
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Best Strikeout Prop Today – Jacob Misiorowski 7+ Strikeouts
| ⚾ World Series Prediction | 🏷️ Position | Price | 🤑 Return on $100 | 📈 Trade It Now |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Misiorowski 7+ Strikeouts | Yes | 52¢ | $186.09 | Trade it now on Polymarket! |
Jacob Misiorowski led the majors in both ERA (1.80) and strikeouts (252) while going 16-5, and he enters Game 1 as the favorite for the NL Cy Young Award. He also arrives rested, with 11 days between his last start and Game 1.
October has looked different. He has not made it out of the fifth inning in either postseason start, yet he piled up 11 strikeouts over 8 1/3 innings, a pace of roughly 1.3 per inning. At that rate, seven strikeouts take about five and a third innings, so length decides this ticket.
The matchup cuts both ways. The Rays posted the lowest strikeout rate in the majors this season, but they ranked 29th in OPS against fastballs at 98 mph or faster, and Misiorowski has pushed his fastball usage to 67% this postseason, averaging 101 mph. We lean Yes at this price.
At a 52¢ average price, a $100 buy works out to roughly 192 shares, each paying $1 if the contract resolves Yes. Polymarket's stated return of $186.09 reflects order book depth and fees.
- If Misiorowski strikes out seven or more: this ticket returns $186.09.
- If he finishes with six or fewer: you lose the full $100 stake, since Polymarket contracts settle all-or-nothing.
That return is roughly 1.9 times your stake on a near coin-flip number.
Jacob Misiorowski Strikeout Props: Every Line on the Board
The 7+ line anchors the ladder, but Polymarket posts five other strikeout thresholds, each with its own risk profile.
- Jacob Misiorowski (Strikeouts 5+: Yes 83%): The floor of the ladder, and the market treats it as a near lock after a league-best 252 strikeouts in the regular season.
- Jacob Misiorowski (Strikeouts 6+: Yes 70%): He averaged 5.5 strikeouts across two short postseason starts, so this line asks for a little more than his October pace.
- Jacob Misiorowski (Strikeouts 7+: Yes 52%): Our featured pick above, a true coin flip at this price.
- Jacob Misiorowski (Strikeouts 8+: Yes 38%): This line needs him to work well into the sixth inning, something he has not done in the playoffs yet.
- Jacob Misiorowski (Strikeouts 9+: Yes 24%): A real ceiling number for a pitcher who averages 101 mph on his fastball.
- Jacob Misiorowski (Strikeouts 10+: Yes 14%): The deepest longshot on the strikeout ladder, and it pays more than 6x on a $100 buy.
Rays vs Brewers Prediction: Outs, Hits, Walks and Earned Runs Props
Strikeouts get the attention, but Polymarket also prices four other lines among the best MLB player props today for Game 1. These lines mostly test how deep he pitches and how much contact the Rays make.
- Jacob Misiorowski (Hits Allowed 4+: Yes 53%): He gave up nine hits in 8 1/3 postseason innings, and the Rays put the ball in play more than any other lineup.
- Jacob Misiorowski (Outs Recorded 17+: Yes 51%): Seventeen outs equals 5 2/3 innings, and he recorded 12 and 13 outs in his two postseason starts.
- Jacob Misiorowski (Walks Allowed 2+: Yes 44%): He walked four batters in 8 1/3 postseason innings, and ESPN's analysts flagged his command as out of sorts.
- Jacob Misiorowski (Earned Runs Allowed 2+: Yes 41%): He allowed three runs across two playoff starts and escaped trouble both times, so this line sits just under a coin flip.
That covers every Misiorowski line on the Polymarket board for Game 1.
What's Moving the Market for Misiorowski Props
Prediction markets and prices move for many reasons. The strikeout ladder shows the shape clearly: Yes drops from 83% at 5+ to 14% at 10+, losing 10 to 18 points on every rung, and the 7+ line sits right at the midpoint.
The outs line tells the same story. At 51% for 17+ outs, the market expects a longer start than the 12 and 13 outs he recorded in his two postseason outings, but it does not expect a deep one.
Nick Martinez matters for the TB vs MIL game-level picture, even though he does not appear on this board. He owns a 4.44 ERA in 12 regular-season games against Milwaukee and a 2.93 ERA in eight games at American Family Field. To compare sportsbook lines to these prices, check the Action Network Rays vs Brewers odds page.
Hitters can swing this market too. The best home run bets today in this series start with Junior Caminero, who hit 42 home runs this season, and the Rays rely on the long ball more than Milwaukee does. Check the full Polymarket game page for any hitter markets before first pitch if you want home run predictions today to pair with these pitching props.
How to Trade Jacob Misiorowski Player Props on Polymarket
Ready to get in on these Jacob Misiorowski player props? Here's exactly how to claim the bonus and start trading:
- Read a comprehensive Polymarket review to understand how this exchange operates.
- Follow this guide to trading on Polymarket to learn how to buy your first "Yes" or "No" contract.
- Monitor the relevant tab on Polymarket to stay ahead of the live order book movements.
- When you're ready, sign up with Polymarket promo code ACTION to get started!
📝 POLYMARKET TERMS & CONDITIONS
18+ Only. Restrictions and eligibility requirements apply. Not available in all jurisdictions. Trading is risky. 100% loss can occur. See polymarket.com/tos for more information. The Polymarket US App serves as an independent software provider and affiliate of Polymarket US and Polymarket Clearing, the CFTC-regulated exchange and clearing organization.
Final Thoughts: Best MLB Player Props Today for World Series Game 1
In TB vs MIL, Misiorowski owns the strikeout ceiling, and the market prices his 7+ line as a coin flip because his October outings have run short. Rest, velocity, and the Rays' trouble against 98 mph fastballs give us the edge on Yes.
Our Jacob Misiorowski player props, the best MLB player props today for this opener, range from a safe 5+ floor to a 10+ longshot, so you can match a line to your read on how deep he pitches. This Rays vs. Brewers prediction comes down to one question: does he finally work into the sixth inning?
If you want hitters instead, the best home run bets today run through Caminero and a Brewers lineup that leads every postseason team in homers, so home run predictions today lean on both sides. For more on how these markets work, the prediction markets hub covers every other sport in season right now.
Jacob Misiorowski Player Props FAQs
What are the best Jacob Misiorowski player props for Rays vs Brewers?
Our top play is Misiorowski 7+ strikeouts at 52¢ on Polymarket, a near coin flip backed by his league-best 252 strikeouts and 11 days of rest. The full board also covers outs recorded, hits allowed, walks allowed, and earned runs allowed.
What is the best Rays vs Brewers prediction for Game 1?
Polymarket lists Milwaukee as the favorite, with Misiorowski starting against Nick Martinez. Our best Rays vs Brewers prediction on Polymarket is Misiorowski 7+ strikeouts.
What are the best MLB player props today for World Series Game 1?
The Misiorowski strikeout ladder offers the best MLB player props today. We pick the 7+ line, while 6+ at 70% and 8+ at 38% suit different risk profiles.
Who starts for TB vs MIL in World Series Game 1?
Jacob Misiorowski starts for Milwaukee and veteran right-hander Nick Martinez starts for Tampa Bay at American Family Field.
How many strikeouts did Jacob Misiorowski have this season?
He finished 16-5 with a 1.80 ERA and 252 strikeouts, and both his ERA and his strikeout total led the majors. He added 11 strikeouts in 8 1/3 innings across two postseason starts.
What are the best home run bets today for Rays vs Brewers?
This piece focuses on Misiorowski's pitching board rather than hitters. For the best home run bets today in this series, watch power bats like Junior Caminero, who has hit 42 home runs this season, and a Brewers lineup that leads every postseason team with 10 home runs.
Which hitters have the best home run bets today in Rays vs Brewers Game 1?
Caminero leads the Rays after hitting 42 home runs this season and hitting a home run in the ALCS clincher. On the Brewers side, Jackson Chourio and William Contreras each homered in the first two postseason series, and Milwaukee leads every postseason team in total home runs.
Where can I find home run predictions today for the World Series?
Home run predictions today for the World Series start on the full Polymarket market page, where you can check which hitter markets are live, then compare those prices against sportsbook lines on the Action Network Rays vs Brewers odds page.
How do Polymarket strikeout contracts work?
Each contract resolves Yes if Misiorowski records at least the listed number of strikeouts, and No if he finishes below it. Each share pays $1 if the contract resolves in your favor, and nothing if it does not. Every contract resolves once the game is final, based on official MLB box score data.
How do I use the Polymarket promo code on Jacob Misiorowski props?
Create a Polymarket account, make a qualifying $10 deposit, and enter the promo code ACTION during signup. Then open the Misiorowski markets for Game 1 and buy the Yes or No side you want.
