Polymarket Promo Code ACTION | Patriots vs. Lions Prediction: Best NFL Prop Bets Today, Best NFL Player Props & Anytime TD Scorer Picks

Sign up with the Polymarket promo code (ACTION) to trade on Week 10's international matchup in Munich. This Patriots vs. Lions prediction rounds up the best NFL prop bets today to trade on Polymarket this morning.

• The Patriots (5-4) are coming off a 45-27 home loss to the Packers in which Drake Maye threw three interceptions. They are short at running back with TreVeyon Henderson out and Rhamondre Stevenson out of the lineup.
• The Lions (6-2) have won four straight, most recently 19-9 over the Dolphins. They are the designated home team for the game in Germany.

Here is every pick in my Patriots vs. Lions prediction, priced on one of the best prediction markets.

Read our Action Network dedicated Polymarket review to learn more, or check out more prediction market promo codes for other platforms.

Patriots vs. Lions Prediction: Best NFL Prop Bets Today on Polymarket

These are real trades we priced on Polymarket, and the return on each pick comes from a $100 buy ticket.

This card of best NFL prop bets today and best NFL player props leans on Detroit's offense with a few New England swings, and you can find more options on the best prediction market apps and our NFL hub.

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Best Anytime Touchdown Prop Today: Jahmyr Gibbs 1+ Touchdown

Jahmyr Gibbs is the engine of Detroit's offense, and he keeps finding the end zone. He ran for 153 yards and a score against the Vikings in Week 8, then punched in a fourth-down touchdown against Miami last week for his 11th scrimmage touchdown of the season.

The matchup fits, too. Teams have run outside on New England at the 10th-highest rate in the league (53.8%), the Patriots' edge defenders are better rushing the passer than setting the edge, and the Lions lead the NFL in explosive run plays.

The price is steep at 69%, but few players on either roster have a clearer path to the end zone in this Patriots vs. Lions prediction.

A $100 buy on Yes at 69% shows a return of $140.78 on Polymarket's ticket.

• If it hits: Return of $140.78
• If it misses: Full loss of the $100 stake

That works out to a payout of 1.41x on the original stake.

Best Receiving Yards Prop Today: Jameson Williams 50+ Receiving Yards

Jameson Williams has been Detroit's big-play threat all season, piling up 27 catches for 437 yards and five touchdowns through his first seven games. He topped 100 yards in Week 4 and scored twice against the Packers.

The concern is last week's season-low 31 yards against Miami, when Jared Goff threw for just 170 yards.

New England is a good spot for a rebound, since the Patriots allow 10.6 yards per attempt against play-action, a staple of Goff's offense, and they will be without cornerback Carlton Davis III.

Even if the Lions lean on Gibbs again, Williams' deep-ball role gives him a path to 50 yards on just a few connections.

A $100 buy on Yes at 59% shows a return of $163.13.

• If it hits: Return of $163.13
• If it misses: Full loss of the $100 stake

That works out to a payout of 1.63x on the original stake.

Best Passing Touchdown Prop Today: Drake Maye 2+ Passing Touchdowns

Drake Maye threw three touchdown passes against the Packers last week, and he has been at the center of New England's scoring all year. He had accounted for at least three touchdowns in five straight games entering Week 9.

With Rhamondre Stevenson expected out and TreVeyon Henderson ruled out, the Patriots figure to lean even more on Maye's arm. The Patriots have also allowed multiple touchdown passes in three straight games, which tends to keep their own offense throwing.

The obstacle is Detroit's pass rush, which ranks second in the NFL in sacks (27), and Maye leads the league with 11 interceptions. Two touchdown passes is still a modest bar for a quarterback who is going to throw often.

A $100 buy on Yes at 57% shows a return of $168.56.

• If it hits: Return of $168.56
• If it misses: Full loss of the $100 stake

That works out to a payout of 1.69x on the original stake.

Best Rushing Yards Prop Today: Jahmyr Gibbs 90+ Rushing Yards

Gibbs has cleared this number in recent weeks, running for 153 yards on 23 carries against the Vikings in Week 8 and 151 yards on 25 carries against the Cardinals in Week 5.

He is a true workhorse, and with Detroit's offense held to 20 points or less in three straight games, the Lions have leaned on the run. New England's outside run defense gives him room for chunk plays.

The risk is game script. If New England jumps ahead or Detroit's passing game takes over, Gibbs' carries could dip.

A $100 buy on Yes at 54% shows a return of $177.42.

• If it hits: Return of $177.42
• If it misses: Full loss of the $100 stake

That works out to a payout of 1.77x on the original stake.

Best Rushing Yards Prop Today: Drake Maye 25+ Rushing Yards

Maye's legs are part of his game, and Detroit's pass rush can turn dropbacks into scrambles. New England's offensive line is in rough shape, with both starting guards on injured reserve, backup Ben Brown out, and four sacks allowed against Green Bay.

Without Stevenson and Henderson, the Patriots' ground game has less to offer, which makes Maye's scrambles a bigger share of the team's rushing output.

This is the least comfortable pick in the group. Only one quarterback has topped 20 rushing yards against Detroit this season, so 25 is a real ask.

A $100 buy on Yes at 54% shows a return of $177.42, but Polymarket flagged that the order may not fully fill, so liquidity is worth watching here.

• If it hits: Return of $177.42
• If it misses: Full loss of the $100 stake

That works out to a payout of 1.77x on the original stake.

Best Spread Pick Today: Patriots +2.5

New England has history on its side in this series. The Patriots have won five of the last six meetings and covered the spread in three of the last four against Detroit.

Both teams are banged up. The Patriots are missing Davis, Ben Brown and Henderson and likely Stevenson, but Detroit is without safety Kerby Joseph, and center Cade Mays and cornerback D.J. Reed sat out Wednesday's practice.

The knock on New England is that it has failed to cover four straight games.

At 2.5 points, this ticket cashes if the Patriots win outright or lose by one or two. That covers plenty of game scripts in a matchup ESPN's FPI sees as a near coin flip, with Detroit at just 52.6%.

Polymarket lists this as the Lions -2.5 market, so I bought No at 48%, which shows a return of $198.52 on a $100 buy.

• If it hits: Return of $198.52
• If it misses: Full loss of the $100 stake

That works out to a payout of just under 2x on the original stake.

Best Total Pick Today: Over 50.5

The Over is 6-0 in the Patriots' last six games, and their defense just surrendered 45 points to Green Bay while allowing multiple touchdown passes in three straight games.

The counterpoint is Detroit's recent scoring. The Lions' offense has been held to 20 points or less in three straight weeks, and the Under has hit in each of the last three meetings between these teams.

A Patriots offense without its top two backs should pass more often, which stops the clock and raises the scoring ceiling. Polymarket's 50.5 sits inside the 49.5 to 51 range at sportsbooks, so the case here is game flow, not line value.

A $100 buy on Yes at 48% shows a return of $196.57.

• If it hits: Return of $196.57
• If it misses: Full loss of the $100 stake

That works out to a payout of 1.97x on the original stake.

Best Receptions Prop Today: Hunter Henry 4+ Receptions

Hunter Henry is one of Maye's most trusted targets, with 29 catches on 34 targets for 326 yards and two touchdowns through eight games. He leads the Patriots in receptions.

With A.J. Brown limited by an ankle and knee issue and the backfield thin, New England's short-area targets should see volume. Henry still caught three passes against Green Bay despite a foot injury.

That foot is the risk. Henry sat out Wednesday's practice before being limited later in the week, so confirm his status before trading.

A $100 buy on Yes at 46% shows a return of $202.00, and Polymarket flagged limited liquidity on this market.

• If it hits: Return of $202.00
• If it misses: Full loss of the $100 stake

That works out to a payout of 2.02x on the original stake.

Best Moneyline Pick Today: Patriots

Polymarket gives New England a 42% chance, while ESPN's FPI gives the Patriots roughly 47%. The Patriots have won five of the last six against Detroit, and one ESPN analyst picks them to win 27-24.

Detroit is missing several starters, and Goff was limited in practice with a chest issue. The flip side is New England's 45-27 loss to Green Bay, Maye's turnovers, and a banged-up offensive line, so this is a value play rather than a comfortable one.

A $100 buy on Yes at 42% shows a return of $226.97.

• If it hits: Return of $226.97
• If it misses: Full loss of the $100 stake

That works out to a payout of 2.27x on the original stake.

Best Anytime Touchdown Prop Today: Mack Hollins 1+ Touchdown

Mack Hollins returned from injured reserve with a calf injury ahead of Week 9, and New England's pass-catching group is thin right now. With Brown limited and Henry's foot a question, depth receivers matter.

Detroit's secondary is without Joseph, and Reed was held out of Wednesday's practice. If the Patriots are chasing points, a bigger-bodied target like Hollins can pick up a short touchdown.

At 25%, this is the longest shot in my picks, so treat it as a small swing for the payout.

A $100 buy on Yes at 25% shows a return of $373.40.

• If it hits: Return of $373.40
• If it misses: Full loss of the $100 stake

That works out to a payout of 3.73x on the original stake.

Patriots vs. Lions Prediction Markets: Moneyline, Spread and Total

Here is how Polymarket prices the full-game moneyline, spread and total for this Patriots vs. Lions prediction.

Anytime TD Scorer Predictions: Best NFL Player Props on the Board

Polymarket's full anytime touchdown board for this game has 14 names, and the market is clear about the order. Jahmyr Gibbs is the heavy favorite at 69%, followed by Amon-Ra St. Brown at 49% and Patriots running back Corey Kiner at 43%.

These anytime TD scorer predictions are where New England's injuries show up most. With Stevenson expected out and Henderson ruled out, Kiner's 43% price reflects a lead-back role, while the rest of the Patriots' board runs from 27% down to 15%.

Every player on the board is listed below with the Yes price, in the order Polymarket shows them. These are some of the best NFL player props for anyone who wants a touchdown ticket without taking a side or a total.

• Jahmyr Gibbs (Anytime Touchdown: Yes 69%): Detroit's top touchdown option, with 11 scrimmage touchdowns this season and a favorable edge matchup.
• Amon-Ra St. Brown (Anytime Touchdown: Yes 49%): The Lions' top receiver can attack the slot against a Patriots defense that struggles with play-action, though a rib issue limited him in practice.
• Corey Kiner (Anytime Touchdown: Yes 43%): The likely lead back for New England with Stevenson and Henderson out, though Detroit has allowed the second-fewest fantasy points per game to running backs.
• Jameson Williams (Anytime Touchdown: Yes 34%): Five touchdowns through seven games, but he is coming off a season-low 31 yards.
• Sam LaPorta (Anytime Touchdown: Yes 31%): A secondary Lions target who benefits if Goff leans on play-action against New England.
• Hunter Henry (Anytime Touchdown: Yes 27%): Two touchdown catches this season, but a foot injury adds some uncertainty.
• DeMario Douglas (Anytime Touchdown: Yes 26%): Leads the Patriots in receiving yards through eight games and is a natural short-yardage target for Maye.
• Mack Hollins (Anytime Touchdown: Yes 25%): A returning receiver and one of my picks, and the longest payout multiple of the group.
• Drake Maye (Anytime Touchdown: Yes 24%): Quarterbacks rarely price this high, but his mobility makes it easier to justify than most.
• Eli Raridon (Anytime Touchdown: Yes 22%): Tight end depth who could see more work if Henry's foot limits him.
• Lan Larison (Anytime Touchdown: Yes 18%): Another name in New England's thin backfield with Stevenson and Henderson sidelined.
• Isaac TeSlaa (Anytime Touchdown: Yes 17%): A depth receiver in the Lions' rotation who needs a broken play or a short field.
• Efton Chism III (Anytime Touchdown: Yes 16%): A depth receiver who could see targets if New England is chasing points.
• Kyle Williams (Anytime Touchdown: Yes 15%): A deep-rotation Patriots receiver at the bottom of the board.

Gibbs and Hollins are already in my picks above, with Gibbs as the safest touchdown ticket and Hollins as the longest shot.

What's Moving the Market in the Patriots vs. Lions Prediction

The touchdown board's movement indicators show Gibbs down 3 points, Kiner up 2 and Williams up 1, while Henry, DeMario Douglas and Raridon each slipped. That fits the backfield news, since Kiner's price rises as Stevenson and Henderson drop out.

Prediction markets like Polymarket have Detroit at 58% to win against 42% for New England, which lines up with sportsbook moneylines around Lions -150 and Patriots +125.

The spread sits at 2.5 and the total at 50.5, and the Over is 6-0 in the Patriots' last six games.

The final injury reports could move these prices before the game. A.J. Brown, Hunter Henry, Stevenson and Amon-Ra St. Brown are all worth watching, since each changes how the best NFL player props and anytime TD scorer predictions are priced.

How to Trade These Picks on Polymarket

Ready to get in on this board? Here's exactly how to claim the bonus and start trading Patriots vs. Lions prediction markets today:

• Read a comprehensive Polymarket review to understand how this exchange operates.
• Follow this guide to trading on Polymarket to learn how to buy your first "Yes" or "No" contract.
• Monitor the NFL tab on Polymarket to stay ahead of the live order book movements.
• When you're ready, sign up with Polymarket promo code ACTION to get started!

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Final Thoughts on the Patriots vs. Lions Prediction

My Patriots vs. Lions prediction is built around Gibbs and Detroit's offense, with New England's depth chart creating the best NFL prop bets today on the Patriots' side.

If you want one ticket, Gibbs 1+ touchdown at 69% is the safest, while Hollins at 25% is the swing.

Prices on the best NFL player props and the anytime TD scorer predictions board can move quickly with injury news, so check Polymarket before you trade. Trade responsibly and only with money you can afford to lose.

FAQs

How do I use Polymarket promo code ACTION for the Patriots vs. Lions game?

Create a new Polymarket account through the link in this article, enter promo code ACTION when you sign up, and complete the qualifying steps in the offer terms. Then browse the Patriots vs. Lions markets and place your trades.

What are the best NFL prop bets today for Patriots vs. Lions?

My top ticket is Jahmyr Gibbs 1+ touchdown at 69%, followed by Jameson Williams 50+ receiving yards at 59% and Drake Maye 2+ passing touchdowns at 57%.

The full Patriots vs. Lions prediction card also includes the moneyline, spread, total and several longer shots.

What are the best NFL player props for Patriots vs. Lions on Polymarket?

Beyond the touchdown board, my best NFL player props include Gibbs 90+ rushing yards, Maye 25+ rushing yards, Hunter Henry 4+ receptions and Mack Hollins 1+ touchdown. Prices come from Polymarket and can change before the game.

Who is the favorite in the Patriots vs. Lions prediction market?

Detroit is the favorite on Polymarket at 58% to win, compared with 42% for New England. The spread market has the Lions at -2.5 and the total is set at 50.5 points.

Who has the best anytime TD scorer predictions for Patriots vs. Lions?

Jahmyr Gibbs leads the anytime TD scorer predictions at 69%, followed by Amon-Ra St. Brown at 49% and Corey Kiner at 43%. Mack Hollins is the longer-shot option at 25%.

Where is the Patriots vs. Lions game being played?

The game is part of the NFL's international series and is being played in Munich, Germany, with Detroit serving as the designated home team.

What are the key injuries in Patriots vs. Lions?

New England is without running back TreVeyon Henderson, cornerback Carlton Davis III and offensive lineman Ben Brown, and running back Rhamondre Stevenson is expected to miss the game.

Detroit is without safety Kerby Joseph, and center Cade Mays and cornerback D.J. Reed sat out Wednesday's practice. Check the final injury reports before you trade.

What is the Over/Under for Patriots vs. Lions on Polymarket?

Polymarket's total is 50.5 points, with Yes on the Over priced at 48%.