Buccaneers vs. Bengals Odds & Betting Predictions - September 13, 2026
Buccaneers at Bengals
5:00 pm • FOXBuccaneers at Bengals Odds
Spread, Total, Moneyline
MatchupOpenSpreadTotalMoneyline | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
 Buccaneers 0-4 | +3.5 | +3.5-106 | o50.5-110 | +160 |
 Bengals 2-2 | u52.5 | -3.5-111 | u50.5-110 | -190 |
Paycor StadiumCincinnati
Buccaneers vs. Bengals Expert Picks
Derek Carty
Last 30d: 34-58-5 (-10.9u)
T.Johnson u1.5 Recs+110
1.1u
THE BLITZ is forecasting 1.16 receptions for Tez Johnson compared to 2.02 receptions implied by sportsbooks, so I believe there is some value here. If you take the under, you’d be projected to win 69% of the time, resulting in a 44% ROI. Based on a $100 wager, the expected value here would be $44.02. This play is good down to at least -148.
Love THE BLITZ? Get all of Carty’s sports betting projections at EV Analytics: https://evanalytics.com/products/nfl-premium-subscription?ref=zdlkmgz
Mjaybrod
Last 30d: 60-77-2 (-16.0u)
CIN -3.5-110
0.91u
Jeff fucking Rosa
Jeremiah Rose
Last 30d: 52-54-1 (-6.1u)
Under 51-120
1.2u
Allan Lem
Last 30d: 44-32-1 (+3.2u)
Under 50.5-110
0.55u
Nick Giffen
Last 30d: 38-62-0 (+4.6u)
Under 50.5-110
0.55u
Action Playbook LIVE
Action Network Live!
Last 30d: 15-28-0 (-0.4u)
Under 50.5-110
1u
J.Burrow o0.5 Int+150
1.01u
Charlie DiSturco
Last 30d: 92-136-1 (+18.0u)
E.All Anytime TD Scorer Yes+700
0.15u
Vegas Refund
Last 30d: 34-33-1 (-2.7u)
TB +4-108
1.08u
The Degenerates
Last 30d: 60-48-1 (+9.2u)
J.Chase o7.5 Recs+116
1u
Sandy Plashkes
Last 30d: 98-78-2 (+46.2u)
Under 50.5-110
1.1u
Alex Hinton
Last 30d: 75-90-4 (-12.8u)
K.Gainwell o20.5 Rec Yds-113
1u
💰🦡 Jake
Last 30d: 68-80-0 (-4.8u)
Over 50.5-108
1u
Doug Ziefel
Last 30d: 367-404-8 (+12.2u)
J.Burrow o8.5 Rush Yds-110
0.5u
Kyle Murray
Last 30d: 140-132-8 (+7.1u)
J.Burrow o34.5 Pass Att-117
1u
Charlie DiSturco
Last 30d: 92-136-1 (+18.0u)
C.Godwin o47.5 Rec Yds-113
1.13u
Nick Giffen
Last 30d: 38-62-0 (+4.6u)
TB/CIN: Total Game Sacks under 5.5+110
1.1u
Frank Ammirante
Last 30d: 123-121-2 (-7.6u)
C.Brown o58.5 Rush Yds-111
1.11u
Nick Giffen
Last 30d: 38-62-0 (+4.6u)
B.Mayfield o0.5 Int+100
1u
Collin Whitchurch
Last 30d: 84-104-0 (+2.3u)
A.Iosivas u1.5 Recs-130
0.65u
Doug Ziefel
Last 30d: 367-404-8 (+12.2u)
A.Iosivas u1.5 Recs-110
0.55u
Sean Koerner🔮
Last 30d: 37-43-0 (-1.4u)
A.Iosivas u1.5 Recs-114
0.57u
I’ve considered Yoshi a sneaky ATD bet over the last couple of seasons, but he’s a player I’m looking to fade in Week 1 based on a few things that could be different this year. The Bengals should still be very pass heavy, but they are planning on being bit more balanced this year, especially if the defense improves (which I’m guessing it does). They may also use more TE-heavy personnel (which would eat Into his playing time) and take more snaps under center, which is especially interesting because Iosivas’ target rate absolutely cratered to just 5% on under-center snaps last year. The Bucs also tend to blitz at a high rate under Todd Bowles, and his target rate dropped to just 8% against the blitz. I was also really impressed with fourth-round rookie Colbie Young, who may not factor in right away but could become a threat to Iosivas’ role as the season goes on.
I’m projecting this closer to 1.4 receptions with around a 59% chance to stay under 1.5. I wouldn’t fade his yardage since he tends to get downfield or end-zone targets, so receptions is the specific market I want to attack. It’s a wide range of outcomes on a low prop, but these are exactly the types of Week 1 spots I love, where digging into personnel changes, potential scheme shifts, camp/preseason and recent news can give us an edge before we just wait around for a week of data to tell us what changed.
Collin Whitchurch
Last 30d: 84-104-0 (+2.3u)
B.Mayfield o0.5 Int+155
0.5u
Doug Ziefel
Last 30d: 367-404-8 (+12.2u)
B.Mayfield o0.5 Int+100
0.5u
Brandon Anderson
Last 30d: 35-77-0 (+3.4u)
E.All 20+ Receiving Yards Yes+230
0.5u
C.Otton 7+ Receptions Yes+1280
0.2u
C.Otton 6+ Receptions Yes+650
0.4u
This is an early test for two of my more intriguing playoff-contender teams. Bengals -3.5 feels heavy; the Bucs are very live here. We have the highest total on the board, meaning plenty of scoring, and we are targeting two of the worst tight-end defenses in the NFL.
Cincinnati allowed the most tight end fantasy points in the league in each of the last two seasons. Their sophomore linebackers, Demetrius Knight and Barrett Carter, are a real weak spot. Tampa Bay isn't much better, finishing top-seven in most tight-end points allowed for three straight years—a classic Todd Bowles weakness.
Cade Otton had all but two tight end catches for Tampa Bay last season. The Bengals allowed a staggering 116 tight-end receptions last year (6.8 per game), most in the NFL, yielding six or more catches to the position in 12 of 17 games.
Otton tends to be more of an all-or-nothing guy.
Over the last two years, he had three or fewer catches in 15 of 30 games. That's half, and it means the line at 3.5 receptions doesn't have much standalone value.
But Otton also had eight games with 6+ catches (including games of 7, 7, 7, 8, 8, 9, and 9). So I'll skip the median outcomes and attack the Otton alternate lines.
C.Otton 8+ Receptions Yes+2300
0.15u
This is an early test for two of my more intriguing playoff-contender teams. Bengals -3.5 feels heavy; the Bucs are very live here. We have the highest total on the board, meaning plenty of scoring, and we are targeting two of the worst tight-end defenses in the NFL.
Cincinnati allowed the most tight end fantasy points in the league in each of the last two seasons. Their sophomore linebackers, Demetrius Knight and Barrett Carter, are a real weak spot. Tampa Bay isn't much better, finishing top-seven in most tight-end points allowed for three straight years—a classic Todd Bowles weakness.
Cade Otton had all but two tight end catches for Tampa Bay last season. The Bengals allowed a staggering 116 tight-end receptions last year (6.8 per game), most in the NFL, yielding six or more catches to the position in 12 of 17 games.
Otton tends to be more of an all-or-nothing guy.
Over the last two years, he had three or fewer catches in 15 of 30 games. That's half, and it means the line at 3.5 receptions doesn't have much standalone value.
But Otton also had eight games with 6+ catches (including games of 7, 7, 7, 8, 8, 9, and 9). So I'll skip the median outcomes and attack the Otton alternate lines.
E.All 2+ Receptions Yes+145
0.75u
This is an early test for two of my more intriguing playoff-contender teams. Bengals -3.5 feels heavy; the Bucs are very live here. We have the highest total on the board, meaning plenty of scoring, and we are targeting two of the worst tight-end defenses in the NFL.
Cincinnati allowed the most tight end fantasy points in the league in each of the last two seasons. Their sophomore linebackers, Demetrius Knight and Barrett Carter, are a real weak spot. Tampa Bay isn't much better, finishing top-seven in most tight-end points allowed for three straight years—a classic Todd Bowles weakness.
The first prop I played all year was Bengals tight end Erick All. He caught my eye during camp as Cincinnati's true do-everything tight end. He can block, he can catch, and he is an every-down guy. He is finally healthy after missing all of last season.
In his nine games as a rookie, All had two or more catches seven times, racking up 20+ yards in five of those. He had four catches in two of his three games with 30+ snaps.
Tampa Bay allowed two or more catches to a tight end 20 times last year (including 11 times in their final eight games) and allowed four or more catches 11 times.
I think books are badly underestimating how much All will be part of this Cincinnati offense this season.
E.All 3+ Receptions Yes+475
0.25u
This is an early test for two of my more intriguing playoff-contender teams. Bengals -3.5 feels heavy; the Bucs are very live here. We have the highest total on the board, meaning plenty of scoring, and we are targeting two of the worst tight-end defenses in the NFL.
Cincinnati allowed the most tight end fantasy points in the league in each of the last two seasons. Their sophomore linebackers, Demetrius Knight and Barrett Carter, are a real weak spot. Tampa Bay isn't much better, finishing top-seven in most tight-end points allowed for three straight years—a classic Todd Bowles weakness.
The first prop I played all year was Bengals tight end Erick All. He caught my eye during camp as Cincinnati's true do-everything tight end. He can block, he can catch, and he is an every-down guy. He is finally healthy after missing all of last season.
In his nine games as a rookie, All had two or more catches seven times, racking up 20+ yards in five of those. He had four catches in two of his three games with 30+ snaps.
Tampa Bay allowed two or more catches to a tight end 20 times last year (including 11 times in their final eight games) and allowed four or more catches 11 times.
I think books are badly underestimating how much All will be part of this Cincinnati offense this season.
E.All 4+ Receptions Yes+1200
0.25u
This is an early test for two of my more intriguing playoff-contender teams. Bengals -3.5 feels heavy; the Bucs are very live here. We have the highest total on the board, meaning plenty of scoring, and we are targeting two of the worst tight-end defenses in the NFL.
Cincinnati allowed the most tight end fantasy points in the league in each of the last two seasons. Their sophomore linebackers, Demetrius Knight and Barrett Carter, are a real weak spot. Tampa Bay isn't much better, finishing top-seven in most tight-end points allowed for three straight years—a classic Todd Bowles weakness.
The first prop I played all year was Bengals tight end Erick All. He caught my eye during camp as Cincinnati's true do-everything tight end. He can block, he can catch, and he is an every-down guy. He is finally healthy after missing all of last season.
In his nine games as a rookie, All had two or more catches seven times, racking up 20+ yards in five of those. He had four catches in two of his three games with 30+ snaps.
Tampa Bay allowed two or more catches to a tight end 20 times last year (including 11 times in their final eight games) and allowed four or more catches 11 times.
I think books are badly underestimating how much All will be part of this Cincinnati offense this season.
Action Pod NFL Picks
Last 30d: 50-81-0 (+6.7u)
E.All o1.5 Recs+145
0.69u
E.All 3+ Receptions Yes+475
0.21u
E.All 4+ Receptions Yes+1200
0.1u
C.Otton 6+ Receptions Yes+650
0.1u
C.Otton 7+ Receptions Yes+1280
0.1u
C.Otton 8+ Receptions Yes+2300
0.05u
Grant Neiffer
Last 30d: 32-106-3 (+6.6u)
J.Burrow o265.5 Pass Yds-115
0.57u
E.Egbuka Anytime TD Scorer Yes+205
0.25u
Gilles Gallant
Last 30d: 22-40-1 (+9.9u)
J.Burrow o0.5 Int+145
0.73u
NFL INT PICKS - W1
Doug Ziefel
Last 30d: 367-404-8 (+12.2u)
S.Perine u21.5 Rush Yds-116
0.5u
TAN Pod Touchdown Show
Last 30d: 25-83-2 (-2.0u)
J.Chase Anytime TD Scorer Yes-116
1.16u
E.Egbuka Anytime TD Scorer Yes+210
0.48u
Matt Moore
Last 30d: 26-44-1 (-5.6u)
TB +3.5-105
0.55u
TB +171
0.25u
Babs .
Last 30d: 66-55-1 (+4.6u)
TB +165 (2H)
1.65u
Topper
Last 30d: 210-207-7 (-10.1u)
TB +3.5-105
1u
Early road dogs that missed the previous postseason day games
Overall: 130-69-6,65% (ROI:27%)
Season:0-0-0, 0% (ROI: 0%)
#TSA
Markus Markets
Last 30d: 9-14-0 (-3.2u)
B.Irving o51.5 Rush Yds-115
1.15u
OldSchool0909
Last 30d: 91-139-2 (-49.8u)
CIN -3.5-105
0.95u
Buccaneers vs. Bengals Previews & Analysis
Buccaneers vs. Bengals Props
Prop Projections
There are no prop projections found for the selected slate. Please check back later.
Prop Odds Comparison
Line Movement Tracker
Buccaneers vs. Bengals Public Betting Percentages
Betting Trends
- Bengals are 2-1 in their last 5 games.
- Bengals are 2-1 in their last 5 games against the spread
- Bengals are 1-1 in their road games against the spread
- The totals have gone OVER in 2 of Bengals' last 3 games
- The totals have gone OVER in 1 of Bengals' 1 last games at home
Matchup History
Against the Spread (ATS) History
| overall | home | away | favorite | underdog | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2-1 | 1-0 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 1-0 |
| 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-2 |
Over/Under History
| overall | home o/u | away o/u | favorite o/u | underdog o/u | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2-1 | 1-0 | 1-1 | 2-0 | 0-1 |
| 2-1 | 1-1 | 1-0 | 1-0 | 1-1 |
Straight-Up (ML) History
| overall | home | away | favorite | underdog | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2-1 | N/A | N/A | 1-1 | 1-0 |
| 0-3 | N/A | N/A | 0-1 | 0-2 |
Last 5 Matchups
Bengals vs. Buccaneers Injury Updates
Bengals Injuries
- Andrei IosivasWR
Iosivas is out with thumb
Out
- Colbie YoungWR
Young is out with knee
Out
Buccaneers Injuries
- Baker MayfieldQB
Mayfield is out with thumb
Out
- Ko KieftTE
Kieft is out with elbow
Out
- Jalen McMillanWR
McMillan is out with knee
Out
Team Stats
Buccaneers vs. Bengals Odds Comparison
Could not load odds
Buccaneers at Bengals Team Totals
MatchupOverUnder | ||
|---|---|---|
Buccaneers 0-4 | N/A | N/A |
Bengals 2-2 | N/A | N/A |