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Chiefs vs. Broncos Betting Model Predictions: Saturday’s Smartest NFL Week 18 Pick

Chiefs vs. Broncos Betting Model Predictions: Saturday’s Smartest NFL Week 18 Pick article feature image
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Photo by Sean M. Haffey/Getty Images. Pictured: Head coach Vic Fangio of the Denver Broncos.

  • NFL Week 18 gets underway with the Kansas City Chiefs visiting the Denver Broncos at 4:30 p.m. ET on Saturday, Jan. 8.
  • Unsurprisingly, the Chiefs are big double-digit favorites over the Broncos according to live NFL odds, but should bettors expect Kansas City to cover that number?
  • Using our NFL betting model predictions and picks, we detail the smartest way to bet Chiefs vs. Broncos on Saturday afternoon.

Chiefs vs. Broncos Odds

Chiefs Odds -10.5
Broncos Odds +10.5
Over/Under 45
Date Saturday, Jan. 8
Time 4:30 p.m. ET
TV ESPN

*Odds as of Saturday morning

The Kansas City Chiefs hold the No. 2 seed in the AFC heading into Week 18 and still have plenty to play for on Saturday afternoon.

First, a win over the Denver Broncos and a loss for the Tennessee Titans against the Houston Texans, which is unlikely, would propel Kansas City into the top seed in the AFC.

On the other hand, the Chiefs falling to the Broncos this afternoon would open the door for both the Cincinnati Bengals and Buffalo Bills to leapfrog Kansas City in the playoff standings.

Long story short: The Chiefs should be motivated on Saturday afternoon, but does that mean bettors should be backing a motivated Kansas City team to cover this double-digit spread?

Or will the rival Broncos play spoiler and keep this game closer than expected?

Our NFL PRO Projections provide a concrete answer.

Chiefs vs. Broncos NFL Betting Prediction

The Chiefs vs. Broncos spread has sits at Kansas City -10.5, and even though the latest data shows that 65% of tickets have landed on Andy Reid’s squad thus far, our NFL betting model suggests that line is just too long.

The Action Network’s NFL PRO Projections set this number at Broncos +8.1, resulting in a 3.5% edge when compared to the widely-available +10.5 right now.

As always, be sure to check in at NFL Live Odds Page to find the best line, as well as the most affordable juice, available.

PRO Projections Pick: Broncos +10.5

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