Koerner’s Monday Night Miracle Odds: Will You Get Your Fantasy Win?
Scott R. Galvin-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Cleveland Browns wide receiver Odell Beckham Jr. (13)
- Sean Koerner calculates the probabilty of key Browns and Jets players scoring enough points to win your Week 2 fantasy matchups.
Monday Night Football can make or break your weekly fantasy matchup. Sweating player(s) you and/or your opponent have makes it a high leverage situation.
So what’re your chances for a Monday night miracle win?
I simulated tonight’s Browns-Jets matchup 10,000 times to calculate the probability of key players hitting certain point thresholds. So, for example: Need 28 points from Baker Mayfield? He has an 8.2% chance of pulling out a MNF miracle for you.
Here are the players I’ll hit on for each team:
- Browns: Mayfield, Nick Chubb, Odell Beckham Jr., Jarvis Landry, David Njoku
- Jets: Le’Veon Bell, Jamison Crowder, Robby Anderson
Now let’s dig into the full odds. (Note these are based on half PPR scoring.)