Koerner’s Monday Night Miracle Odds: Will You Get Your Fantasy Win?

Koerner’s Monday Night Miracle Odds: Will You Get Your Fantasy Win? article feature image
Credit:

Scott R. Galvin-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Cleveland Browns wide receiver Odell Beckham Jr. (13)

  • Sean Koerner calculates the probabilty of key Browns and Jets players scoring enough points to win your Week 2 fantasy matchups.

Monday Night Football can make or break your weekly fantasy matchup. Sweating player(s) you and/or your opponent have makes it a high leverage situation.

So what’re your chances for a Monday night miracle win?

I simulated tonight’s Browns-Jets matchup 10,000 times to calculate the probability of key players hitting certain point thresholds. So, for example: Need 28 points from Baker Mayfield? He has an 8.2% chance of pulling out a MNF miracle for you.

Here are the players I’ll hit on for each team:

  • Browns: Mayfield, Nick Chubb, Odell Beckham Jr., Jarvis Landry, David Njoku
  • Jets: Le’Veon Bell, Jamison Crowder, Robby Anderson

Now let’s dig into the full odds. (Note these are based on half PPR scoring.)

Baker Mayfield, QB, Browns

Nick Chubb, RB, Browns

Le’Veon Bell, RB, Jets

Odell Beckham JR., WR, Browns

Jarvis Landry, WR, Browns

Jamison Crowder, WR, Jets

Robby Anderson, WR, Jets

David Njoku, TE, Browns

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