Browns vs. Jets MNF Betting Odds & Preview: Cleveland Getting Too Much Road Respect?

Browns vs. Jets MNF Betting Odds & Preview: Cleveland Getting Too Much Road Respect? article feature image

Ken Blaze-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Baker Mayfield

Browns at Jets Betting Odds

  • Odds: Browns -6.5
  • Total: 45
  • Time: 8:15 p.m. ET
  • TV Channel: ESPN

Odds above as of Sunday evening and via PointsBet, where Action Network users can exclusively bet every NFL spread this season at reduced juice (-105).

In news that came completely out of no where, Jets QB Sam Darnold will not play on Monday night after coming down with mono. The Browns were 2.5-point favorites before the announcement; they’ve since shifted to 6.5-point road favorites.

Is that line move an overreaction — or do the Jets really not stand a chance with backup Trevor Siemian?

Let’s dive in.

Browns-Jets Injury Report

Which team is healthier? Browns

Baker Mayfield had some imagine done on his hand earlier in the week, and he’s not on the injury report, so he’s looking good. Outside of a few rotational players, the Browns are in good shape entering Week 2.

It’s a completely different story for the Jets.

Quincy Enunwa will miss the rest of the season with a neck injury and Sam Darnold was ruled out with mono. Darnold’s ruling caused the Browns’ spread to go from -2.5 to -6.5. Le’Veon Bell also had some imaging done on his shoulder, but the results came back negative. He’s trending upward as he got in a limited practice on Friday after missing it on Thursday.

Other injuries to monitor include LB C.J. Mosley (groin) and WR Demaryius Thomas (hamstring), who have missed both practices so far this week. Justin Bailey

Note: Info as of Sunday. See our Injury Report for the latest updates.

Sean Koerner’s Projected Odds

  • Projected Spread: Browns -5
  • Projected Total: 43.5

I had the drop-off from Darnold to Trevor Siemian to be worth about 3.5 points.

Siemian is your average backup QB and has a 13-13 career record as a starter. I’m thinking the market overreacted to Darnold being out. We’ll see if this number can reach +7 by kickoff, which would make Darnold’s absence cross the two most valuable key numbers in 3 and 7, which would be giving Darnold way too much credit.

We will also need to monitor if Bell and Mosley are able to suit up. If the line reaches +7 and both players look likely to play, I will be taking the points. Sean Koerner

Biggest Mismatch

Browns WR Odell Beckham Jr. vs. Jets Perimeter CBs Trumaine Johnson, Darryl Roberts

New scheme, same result.

Johnson allowed 8-7-110-0 with zero pass breakups in Week 1. He was not good.

In Weeks 12-13 last season, Johnson had a two-game stretch against the lowly Titans and Bills passing games in which he allowed 3-43-1 with three interceptions on 12 targets, per Pro Football Focus. Against everyone else, though, Johnson was pretty much the same underwhelming, overpaid player we saw in Week 1: 49-37-477-1 with one interception. In 467 coverage snaps as a Jet, Johnson has broken up just one pass on 69 targets.

Trumaine Johnson
Vincent Carchietta-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Trumaine Johnson

Roberts, meanwhile, followed up a season in which he graded 59th in coverage among 91 qualifiers at safety by ranking 84th of 97 qualifiers at corner in Week 1.

Bills’ No. 1 receiver John Brown secured 3-of-3 for 55 yards on Johnson and 3-of-3 for 59 yards and a touchdown on Roberts last week. All six of those catches went for a first down. The duo also combined to commit four penalties against Buffalo.

In his first game with Mayfield, OBJ spent 86% of his snaps out wide and caught 7-of-11 targets for 77 yards while forcing three missed tackles. Chris Raybon

Expert Pick

Mike Randle: Under 45

The Browns have major offensive line issues as illustrated by Tennesse’s five sacks and seven quarterback hits in Week 1. This bodes poorly against Jets defensive coordinator Gregg Williams, who brings pressure on almost every play.

Mayfield must play better coming off a three-interception performance.

With Darnold out, it’s difficult to see a high point total with Siemian at the helm. Wide receiver Robby Anderson’s threat as a deep-ball receiver is nullified, and New York is still without versatile tight end Chris Herndon (suspended).

While the Beckham-Williams feud makes nice copy, the Browns really need to get running back Nick Chubb going. Chubb was an efficient 17 rushes for 75 yards but faces a Jets defense that hopes to have Mosley and run-stopping defensive tackle Quinnen Williams (ankle) back from Week 1 injuries.

The Jets will feature a conservative game plan without Darnold, and the Browns’ offensive line woes makes the under a strong play for me.

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