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Bears-Vikings Betting Preview: Can You Trust Kirk Cousins in a Big Spot?

Dec 30, 2018 8:30 AM EST
Credit:

USA Today Sports. Pictured: Khalil Mack, Kirk Cousins

Betting odds: Chicago Bears at Minnesota Vikings

  • Spread: Vikings -4.5
  • Over/Under: 40.5
  • Time: 4:25 p.m. ET
  • TV channel: FOX

>> All odds as of Thursday evening. Download The Action Network App to get real-time NFL odds and track your bets


Betting market: This line has been all over the place since opening. Initially, it line moved from Vikings -4 to -6.5, as folks might have thought the Bears would rest players.

But when Matt Nagy confirmed Wednesday that they wouldn’t, steam hit the Bears, causing them to fall to +3.5.

There has since been a bit of buyback in the other direction, as Minnesota is back up to -4.5, but Chicago remains a very trendy dog, with 64% of the bets at the time of writing (see live data here).

The under has also been very popular (69% of bets, 94% of money), which has caused the total to drop from 41.5. Mark Gallant

Trends to know: The 11-4 Bears are a popular underdog play. But according to our Bet Labs data, teams that have won 70% or more of their games (like Chicago) have gone 66-78-3 against the spread as an underdog in December or later in the season, including 9-15-1 (38%) ATS in Week 17. John Ewing

Playoff picture: The Vikings and Eagles are battling it out for the NFC’s sixth and final playoff spot. Minnesota clinches a berth with a win or a tie over the Bears. If the Vikings lose, they’d need the Eagles to lose or tie.

Our simulations give the Vikings a 63.8% chance of making the postseason.

The Bears might be doing a little scoreboard watching on Sunday, as they’d be locked into the 3-seed if the Rams beat Arizona as a 10-point favorite. So it’s always possible Chicago pulls its starters if LA gets up big.

A loss from LA and a win by Chicago would land the Bears a first-round bye as the 2-seed. Scott T. Miller