Eagles vs. Chiefs Odds, Prediction: Projections for Super Bowl Rematch
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Eagles vs. Chiefs Odds, Prediction
The following are the projected odds for Eagles vs. Chiefs, according to our Director of Predictive Analytics, Sean Koerner.
|Odds according to the Action Network|
Kansas City is projected as -4.5 favorites for the regular-season rematch of Super Bowl LVII between the Chiefs and Eagles, according to Action Network’s data team.
The official date and time for this contest will come out on Thursday at 8 p.m. ET.
This is a substantial shift from the Super Bowl, when the Eagles were favorites on a neutral field. Philadelphia closed as -130 favorites on the moneyline and -1.5 on the spread. The Chiefs, conversely, were +110 underdogs and +1.5 on the spread.
The Eagles had entered halftime of that game up 10 points — until Patrick Mahomes turned on his Hall of Fame jets amid an ankle injury and all. Jalen Hurts, Nick Sirianni and company had been as high as -10.5 and -600 favorites at points in the game before eventually losing, 38-35.
Our predictive analytics team projects the Chiefs as -187 favorites on the moneyline at Arrowhead Stadium. So, any line that opens longer than that constitutes a positive expected value pick.
On the flip side, the Eagles’ fair value line is +187 on the moneyline. Similarly, any line with a higher plus-money number has value, according to Koerner.
The Chiefs win this game 65.2% of the time, according to our metrics. Conversely, the Eagles are projected to win this game 34.8 times out of 100.
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