If you want more Action Network content, be sure to add us as a preferred source on Google.
The Kansas City Chiefs (3-0) and Las Vegas Raiders (3-0) meet today in NFL Week 4. Kickoff is set for 4:25 p.m. ET from Allegiant Stadium in Las Vegas, Nev. The game will broadcast live on CBS.
The Chiefs are 4.5-point favorites over the Raiders on the spread, with the over/under set at 47.5 total points. Kansas City is a -225 moneyline favorite to win outright, while Las Vegas is a +188 underdog to pull off the upset.
Let's get into my Chiefs vs Raiders predictions and NFL picks for Sunday, October 4.
My Chiefs vs Raiders Prediction
- Chiefs vs Raiders pick: Chiefs -4.5 (-112)
My Chiefs vs. Raiders best bet is Kansas City to cover the spread (-4.5), with the best price currently available at FanDuel. Make sure to find the best odds by checking our live NFL odds page.
Download the Action Network app now for more NFL picks and analysis!
Chiefs vs Raiders Odds
| Chiefs Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-4.5 -112 | 47.5 -110o / -110u | -225 |
| Raiders Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+4.5 -108 | 47.5 -110o / -110u | +188 |
Chiefs vs Raiders NFL Week 4 Preview
Kansas City Chiefs Betting Preview: Historical Trends Favor KC
The Chiefs went through the motions last week against Miami, but this is a premier spot to back Patrick Mahomes, who historically dominates the Raiders.
The situational trends favoring the Chiefs are overwhelming: Since 2013, teams playing a divisional opponent right before their bye week (where the opponent is not on a bye) are 58-25-1 (70%) ATS.
Additionally, teams with 12+ days of rest coming up are 58% ATS over the last decade.
I expect to see Kansas City empty the playbook and take care of business before it's bye in Week 5.
Las Vegas Raiders Betting Preview: The Ultimate Sell-High Spot
The Raiders are the feel-good story in the NFL thus far, but this is the ultimate sell-high spot.
While Las Vegas has improved behind a solid offensive line featuring Colton Miller and Tyler Linderbaum, this price tag is inflated simply because of the 3-0 record and the public perception that naturally comes along with that.
The Raiders beat a terrible Miami team, a broken Chargers squad, and then got outgained by 40 yards against the Saints while relying on four turnovers and a +13 4th-quarter surge to escape with a victory.
After back-to-back emotional wins, the Raiders' gas tank is likely running low on fuel.
Chiefs vs Raiders Prediction, Betting Analysis
The Raiders have feasted on weak competition, but they are stepping up in class against a divisional opponent that has owned them historically.
Mahomes should be able to carve up this Vegas secondary, and all the situational trends seem to point toward Kansas City here.
Pick: Chiefs -4.5 (-112)
