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Chargers-Raiders Betting Preview: Are the Chargers Being Overvalued?

Nov 11, 2018 1:50 PM EST
Credit:

Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Philip Rivers, Derek Carr

Betting odds: Los Angeles Chargers at Oakland Raiders

  • Spread: Chargers -10
  • Over/Under: 50
  • Time: 4:05 p.m. ET
  • TV channel: FOX

>> All odds as of Friday morning. Download The Action Network App to get real-time NFL odds and track your bets


Betting market: With 82% of bets as of writing (see live data here), the Chargers are one of the most popular bets of the week. You can’t blame bettors for fading the Raiders, though, following their abysmal loss to Nick Mullens, a quarterback who had never thrown an NFL pass before.

This line moved briefly to -9.5 on Monday, but it went back to -10 on Monday night and hasn’t changed since. Mark Gallant

Trends to know: Since 2003, teams that have won 20% or fewer of their games (like the 1-7 Raiders), have gone 202-159-10 (56%) against the spread when listed as underdogs of seven or more points.John Ewing

The Chargers are rolling. They’ve won five straight games for the first time since 2014, winning the turnover battle in each of the five wins.

According to our Bet Labs data, teams to win at least five consecutive games while winning the turnover battle in each are only 6-13-1 ATS (31.6%) when listed as the favorite, losing bettors 7.2 units since 2003.

That includes 1-8-1 ATS since 2012, failing to cover the spread by 10.4 points per game. Evan Abrams

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