NFL Odds, Picks, Predictions: Why Our Expert Already Bet the Texans-Jaguars Spread For Week 15

NFL Odds, Picks, Predictions: Why Our Expert Already Bet the Texans-Jaguars Spread For Week 15 article feature image
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Bob Levey/Getty Images. Pictured: Texans QB Trevor Lawrence

  • In search of early-week betting value based on opening NFL odds for Week 15? Our expert has you covered.
  • Find out why he already bet the Texans-Jaguars spread -- and why he recommends locking it in now at the right number.

NFL Odds: Texans vs. Jaguars

Texans Odds +3
Jaguars Odds -3
Over/Under 41
Kickoff 1 p.m. ET on Sunday
TV CBS
Odds as of Monday and via DraftKings

Both of these teams are terrible: They are mirror images of each other, with Jacksonville clocking in at 30th and Houston 31st in Football Outsiders’ overall DVOA entering Week 14. However, Houston can claim the only above-average unit in this game with a defense that entered the week ranked 10th in DVOA overall and sixth versus the pass.

Texans rookie quarterback Davis Mills is beginning to turn a corner. Over his past two starts, he’s completed 62-of-87 (71.3%) passes for 641 yards with three touchdowns and one interception. First overall pick Trevor Lawrence, meanwhile, continues to struggle and has led the offense to just 64 points over the last seven games — an average of 9.1 points per game.

Sure, the Jaguars are at home this time around, but how are they still getting a whole field goal after the Texans thumped them 37-21 in the first matchup?

Despite coming in riding a three-loss streak, it should surprise no one if Houston sweeps its dysfunctional division rival. According to our Action Labs data, road underdogs on a three-loss streak that opened between +3 and +6 are 42-27 (61%) against the spread (ATS) since 2003.

Pick: Texans +3.5 | Bet to: +3

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