NFL Week 11 kicks off with Jets vs Patriots on Thursday Night Football.
The Patriots enter Thursday Night Football on a seven-game winning streak that has propelled them to first place in the AFC East. The Jets, meanwhile, have won two straight games after starting the season 0-7.
- For more Thursday Night Football coverage, check out my Jets vs Patriots preview, which includes my over/under pick for TNF.
Tonight, I'm targeting Jets linebacker Quincy Williams in the prop market as I believe there's an edge on his tackles + assists prop. Find my over/under prop bet for Williams below.
NFL Prop Bet: Quincy Williams Over/Under Prediction
Quincy Williams was benched for Francisco Mauigoa last week — there was one problem though: Mauigoa wasn’t able to suit up (concussion protocol) so Williams ended up playing his usual full-time role and racked up eight tackles.
However, Mauigoa has been cleared to play tonight so we could see Williams play anywhere from 0-85% of snaps.
Even if I project Williams for 100% of the snaps (a worst-case scenario for this bet), I’m projecting him to stay under this around 55% of the time.
But if he only plays 50% of the snaps? It would be like a 75-80% chance he stays under — if not higher. Williams has gone under 6.5 in 3-of-5 games this season.
There is a wide range of outcomes here, but it all favors his floor/under.
