With Action PRO's sharpest over/under pick already live, we'll pivot and look at tonight's top Monday Night Football prop picks for Vikings vs. Bears (8:15 p.m. ET, ESPN)
Our advanced Action PRO Projections have identified two key player prop bets worth considering to close out Week 1.
These picks come from proprietary data that compares player projections, probabilities and betting odds to find optimal value.
PRO Projections crunch odds on all types of NFL props, including reception over/unders, touchdowns and more.
The smartest Monday Night Football player prop picks feature data-driven predictions for wide receivers Adam Thielen and Rome Odunze.
2 Monday Night Football Player Prop Picks
First, we focus on Thielen, who enters his second stint with the Minnesota Vikings.
He'll be a security blanket for second-year quarterback J.J. McCarthy.
The betting line for Thielen’s receptions is set at 3.5 catches.
Our PRO Projections model signal a large edge on the under, forecasting Thielen to have just 2.9 receptions, giving a 7% edge on the under.
Considering the factors our model analyzes, such as target share and offensive game plan, taking the under on Thielen’s reception total is the smart play.
On the Bears’ side, second-year receiver Rome Odunze is expected to take a bigger step this season. Still, the current prop line for his catches is 4.5. PRO Projections peg his reception total at 3.9, presenting a 5.7% edge on the under here as well. While Odunze is a rising talent, the line may be set slightly high for Week 1, making the under a value bet based on our data.
