NFL Week 5 Best Bets: 7 Expert Picks, Odds for Sunday’s Late Games
Photo by Dustin Bradford/Getty Images. Pictured: Breece Hall.
NFL Week 5 Sunday rolls on, and that means another opportunity for us to place our NFL Week 5 best bets. Here's everything you need to know about NFL Week 5 best bets: 7 expert picks and the odds for Sunday's late games.
Action Network's staff of NFL analysts are all over the the Sunday Week 5 late slate of games, which feature Eagles vs. Rams, Bengals vs. Cardinals, Chiefs vs. Vikings and Jets vs. Broncos.
Our staff is on a little bit of everything for the 4 p.m. ET and later games, attacking spreads, game totals, player props and team totals for all four games.
Check out their seven NFL Week 5 best bets and expert picks below.
NFL Week 5 Best Bets: 7 Expert Picks, Odds for Sunday's Late Games
The team logos in the table below represent each of the matchups that our NFL betting staff is targeting from today's slate of games. Click on the team logos for any of the matchups below to navigate to a specific bet discussed in this article.
| Game | Time (ET) | Pick |
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| 4:05 p.m. | ||
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| 4:05 p.m. | ||
| 4:25 p.m. | ||
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Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our NFL Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | ||
Eagles vs. Rams
The Rams have been better than expected, but that's just buying us value on the line.
This was Philadelphia -6.5 before the season, so we're getting a free field goal now for an unbeaten team just because of Matthew Stafford, Puka Nacua and Cooper Kupp's return?
I don't buy it. There will be a time to fade the Eagles, but not in a matchup they should dominate in the trenches.
Grab -3.5 if you can get it, but I'll play to -4.5 as needed. As of Sunday afternoon, you can still get a -4 at FanDuel, as one example — and if you do, make sure to use our FanDuel promo code.
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Eagles vs. Rams
"I don't always drink beer, but when I do, I prefer Dos Equis."
I miss the most interesting man in the world commercials.
I don't always bet on road favorites, but when I do, I prefer the Eagles.
This is both a bet on the Eagles and a bet against the Rams. Philadelphia has managed to avoid the Super Bowl hangover and has been winning games with B- type performances.
Through four games, the Eagles have a top-12 pass offense and the third-best rushing offense. They are facing a Rams defense that is basically a one-man show (Aaron Donald).
The Rams are below league average against the run and the pass, so this sets up well for Philly's offense.
While Los Angeles will have Cooper Kupp back this week, I'm not sure he alone is going to give them the boost it needs. The offensive line has been bad, the running game hasn't been efficient (even though Kyren Williams has been fun in DFS) and Matthew Stafford does not look comfortable in the slightest.
I'll take the team with the better offense and the better defense. You can currently get this line at -3.5, at least at the moment, at bet365 — and if you do have bet365 available in your state, make sure to use our bet365 bonus code!
Pick: Eagles -4
Bengals vs. Cardinals
Joe Burrow is going to need to prove to me that he is healthy.
The Bengals are 30th in yards per play, 32nd in points per drive and have created only 10 explosive plays of 15 or more yards (32nd).
According to Sharp Football, 76.9% of Burrow’s passes have been within ten yards of the line of scrimmage; he hasn't eclipsed 5.5 yards per attempt in any game this season. To make matters worse, the offensive line ranks 31st in pass block win rate. A hobbled Burrow playing from a constantly collapsing pocket will continue to bring this offense to a halt.
In games outside of the division where the total closed at 45 or below, the under has hit at a 70% rate over a ten game sample size in Burrow’s career. In all non-divisional games for the Bengals during Burrow's tenure, the under is 17-11-1 (60.7%).
Against all opponents in his career on the road, games involving Burrow are not usually high scoring, with a 16-8 (66.6%) record heavily leaning towards the under. Factoring in health and the spot, this game screams under.
Bengals vs. Cardinals
The Cardinals offense continues to make magic happen, and Dobbs has been terrific. One way Drew Petzing has unleashed Dobbs is as a runner. He's run for 41, 55 and 48 yards in the past three games and I don't think books have caught up yet.
Cincinnati allowed 45 rushing yards to Deshaun Watson in the opener and 54 to Lamar Jackson the next week. Quarterbacks who can run have hurt this Cincy team and I think Dobbs has a solid chance to double this number.
You can play him to hit 40+ yards at +340 or 50+ yards at +650 (DraftKings) as escalators, too.
Pick: Joshua Dobbs Over 21.5 Rushing Yards
Jets vs. Broncos
By Sam Farley
Okay, stick with me here, I know Breece Hall has yet to find the end zone this season, but I believe that changes in a big way against the Broncos.
The most important thing is that the Jets coaching staff has revealed Hall is no longer on a pitch count, so we should see his workload increase. Given they have Zach Wilson under center, this feels like an opportunity.
Not only that, but Hall gets to face the Broncos. Owners of the worst rush defense in the NFL, the Broncos have allowed 11 touchdowns to RBs and an average of 176 rushing yards per game.
I'm backing Hall to score at least twice at +750, and I might even have a small sprinkle on 3+ TDs at +4000.
Pick: Breece Hall 2+ Touchdowns
Jets vs. Broncos
By Simon Hunter
Last week, I had I beg to you to take the Jets. Now I have to beg you to fade them.
There's way too much love for the Jets right now, all because Zach Wilson played the game of his career. Maybe he did find something last Sunday night — but I’m happy to play this number and say he hasn’t.
If you ever get to place a bet on a home team under a field goal against Wilson, you must blindly bet that number. Now you might say to yourself, "Denver has one of the worst defenses we’ve ever seen."
That could be true, but the Broncos still have some playmakers. This is a great get-right game for them. I love this matchup for Russell Wilson and this Sean Payton offense. They haven’t really faced a true top-10 defense yet.
With two desperate teams trying to avoid 1-4 starts, I’ll take the veteran quarterback and head coach every time in this spot. Give me Denver at anything below -3.
Chiefs vs. Vikings
Kansas City's offense has felt a bit stuck in the mud so far this season, topping this number only once so far. But the Chiefs scored 27 or more in 62% of their games the last three years, and this shapes up as a potential get-right spot for Mahomes and the offense.
The key here is the matchup against Minnesota defensive coordinator Brian Flores.
Remember Kansas City's season opener last fall against the Cardinals? Vance Joseph's defense blitzed all game and Mahomes shredded them to the tune of 360 yards and five TDs in the first three quarters of a blowout.
Flores is blitzing around 60% of the time for Minnesota, an outrageous number, and the Vikings' pass rushers aren't even getting home. Mahomes will eat that blitz for lunch.
Pick: Chiefs Team Total Over 27.5
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