This game looks pretty ugly. On a weekend full of blustery weather, this one could get the worst of it — low 40s and winds in the 20s, with a low total and an ugly game expected. These longtime rivals have split the season series six of the last seven years, so don't be surprised if Cleveland's stout defense helps the Browns hang around more than you think. If you disagree, Ravens team total over 23.5 is a gift — the Ravens have scored at least 27 points in every Lamar Jackson win the last two seasons. That weather may mean a lack of passing, but I'm still looking at a Browns pass catcher, presumed WR1 Jerry Jeudy. Cleveland turned over its offense to OC Tommy Rees during its bye week, and he made his intentions for the offense pretty clear in his first game calling plays against the Jets last week. The Browns threw 25 passes in the first half; 11 of them were directed toward Jeudy. That's a huge target load, 44% of the passes, and he had his best half of the season with five catches for 66 yards and a score. Rees made it clear he wants to get the ball to the one star talent in his receiving corps, so I'm following the hunch and investing before lines adjust. The Ravens have allowed the fourth most fantasy points to opposing WRs on the season and the second most receptions per game at 13.8. Even as the defense has improved, opponents are passing on them. Jeudy hasn't had a great season, but even in an off year, he's still had at least 43 yards receiving in over half his games, five of nine. That makes his over 39.5 yards a no brainer at DraftKings (-110). He's only hit 60 yards twice this season but has still done so in 10 of his last 19 outings, again over half, so 60+ yards at +243 is worth part of the bet, too. The weather and game conditions could make a huge yardage total tough to come by, especially since Dillon Gabriel can't get the ball down the field, so perhaps just reception volume is in play. Jeudy has at least six receptions in eight of his last 18 games, almost half, but the target share is key. When he gets double-digit targets like he did last week in the first half alone, he's had at least six catches in seven of his last eight games. If the targets are there, the volume should be too. Bet 6+ Jeudy receptions at +350 (bet365) and let's hope Rees continues to build the offense around his best playmaker.

This game looks pretty ugly. On a weekend full of blustery weather, this one could get the worst of it — low 40s and winds in the 20s, with a low total and an ugly game expected. These longtime rivals have split the season series six of the last seven years, so don't be surprised if Cleveland's stout defense helps the Browns hang around more than you think. If you disagree, Ravens team total over 23.5 is a gift — the Ravens have scored at least 27 points in every Lamar Jackson win the last two seasons. That weather may mean a lack of passing, but I'm still looking at a Browns pass catcher, presumed WR1 Jerry Jeudy. Cleveland turned over its offense to OC Tommy Rees during its bye week, and he made his intentions for the offense pretty clear in his first game calling plays against the Jets last week. The Browns threw 25 passes in the first half; 11 of them were directed toward Jeudy. That's a huge target load, 44% of the passes, and he had his best half of the season with five catches for 66 yards and a score. Rees made it clear he wants to get the ball to the one star talent in his receiving corps, so I'm following the hunch and investing before lines adjust. The Ravens have allowed the fourth most fantasy points to opposing WRs on the season and the second most receptions per game at 13.8. Even as the defense has improved, opponents are passing on them. Jeudy hasn't had a great season, but even in an off year, he's still had at least 43 yards receiving in over half his games, five of nine. That makes his over 39.5 yards a no brainer at DraftKings (-110). He's only hit 60 yards twice this season but has still done so in 10 of his last 19 outings, again over half, so 60+ yards at +243 is worth part of the bet, too. The weather and game conditions could make a huge yardage total tough to come by, especially since Dillon Gabriel can't get the ball down the field, so perhaps just reception volume is in play. Jeudy has at least six receptions in eight of his last 18 games, almost half, but the target share is key. When he gets double-digit targets like he did last week in the first half alone, he's had at least six catches in seven of his last eight games. If the targets are there, the volume should be too. Bet 6+ Jeudy receptions at +350 (bet365) and let's hope Rees continues to build the offense around his best playmaker.

This game looks pretty ugly. On a weekend full of blustery weather, this one could get the worst of it — low 40s and winds in the 20s, with a low total and an ugly game expected. These longtime rivals have split the season series six of the last seven years, so don't be surprised if Cleveland's stout defense helps the Browns hang around more than you think. If you disagree, Ravens team total over 23.5 is a gift — the Ravens have scored at least 27 points in every Lamar Jackson win the last two seasons. That weather may mean a lack of passing, but I'm still looking at a Browns pass catcher, presumed WR1 Jerry Jeudy. Cleveland turned over its offense to OC Tommy Rees during its bye week, and he made his intentions for the offense pretty clear in his first game calling plays against the Jets last week. The Browns threw 25 passes in the first half; 11 of them were directed toward Jeudy. That's a huge target load, 44% of the passes, and he had his best half of the season with five catches for 66 yards and a score. Rees made it clear he wants to get the ball to the one star talent in his receiving corps, so I'm following the hunch and investing before lines adjust. The Ravens have allowed the fourth most fantasy points to opposing WRs on the season and the second most receptions per game at 13.8. Even as the defense has improved, opponents are passing on them. Jeudy hasn't had a great season, but even in an off year, he's still had at least 43 yards receiving in over half his games, five of nine. That makes his over 39.5 yards a no brainer at DraftKings (-110). He's only hit 60 yards twice this season but has still done so in 10 of his last 19 outings, again over half, so 60+ yards at +243 is worth part of the bet, too. The weather and game conditions could make a huge yardage total tough to come by, especially since Dillon Gabriel can't get the ball down the field, so perhaps just reception volume is in play. Jeudy has at least six receptions in eight of his last 18 games, almost half, but the target share is key. When he gets double-digit targets like he did last week in the first half alone, he's had at least six catches in seven of his last eight games. If the targets are there, the volume should be too. Bet 6+ Jeudy receptions at +350 (bet365) and let's hope Rees continues to build the offense around his best playmaker.