NFL Pick’Em Picks For Straight Up & ATS Pools: Colts & Patriots Are Top Options In Week 6

NFL Pick’Em Picks For Straight Up & ATS Pools: Colts & Patriots Are Top Options In Week 6 article feature image
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Jeffrey Brown/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images. Pictured: Colts mascot

Editor’s note: The following data has been updated to reflect Sean Koerner’s final round of projections for Week 6.


To help you make your NFL pick’em picks for Week 6, I’ve ranked our straight up (SU) and against the spread (ATS) options by confidence below.

These rankings are based on my power ratings, which help power our NFL PRO Projections — the SU rankings are based specifically on my projected probabilities each team will win outright while the ATS rankings are based on the relative edge when comparing my projected odds to the actual odds.

As 10-point favorites against the Texans, it’s no surprise that the Colts sit atop my SU rankings with an 80% projected outright win probability. The Patriots, meanwhile, headline the ATS rankings with a 2.8% edge based on my projected spread of Cowboys -3 vs. the actual spread of Cowboys -3.5 (find real-time NFL odds for every Week 6 game here).

Now let’s take a look at the rest!

Week 6 NFL Pick’Em Rankings


JUMP TO: SU | ATS


Straight Up NFL Picks

Conf Team Opp Win Prob%
1 Colts vs. HOU 80%
2 Rams @ NYG 77%
3 Chiefs @ WAS 73%
4 Buccaneers @ PHI 72%
5 Packers @ CHI 68%
6 Bills @ TEN 67%
T-7 Steelers vs. SEA 65%
T-7 Broncos vs. LV 65%
9 Browns vs. ARI 63%
T-10 Dolphins @ JAX 61%
T-10 Bengals @ DET 61%
12 Cowboys @ NE 60%
13 Ravens vs. LAC 57%
14 Vikings @ CAR 56%
15 Panthers vs. MIN 44%
16 Chargers @ BAL 43%
17 Patriots vs. DAL 40%
T-18 Lions vs. CIN 39%
T-18 Jaguars vs. MIA 39%
20 Cardinals @ CLE 37%
T-21 Raiders @ DEN 35%
T-21 Seahawks @ PIT 35%
23 Titans vs. BUF 33%
24 Bears vs. GB 32%
25 Eagles vs. TB 28%
26 Football Team vs. KC 27%
27 Giants vs. LAR 23%
28 Texans @ IND 20%

Fantasy Football CTA for PRO


NFL ATS Picks: Week 6

I’ll update the embedded table featuring my ATS confidence ratings throughout the week, but your contest may use different lines, so I’ve also created this downloadable spreadsheet so you can calculate ratings specific to your pool.

Simply add the odds your contest is using into Column D, then the edge and ratings will automatically recalculate in Column F.

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