Sunday NFL Prediction: The 62% Correct ATS Pick for Giants vs. Titans, Jaguars vs. Commanders (Sept. 11)
AP Photo/John Munson. Pictured: Daniel Jones.
The Action Network has developed a historically profitable betting system that reports a return on investment (ROI) of 21% since 2005.
The algorithm has won 62% of the time since the Bush administration. The pick is always on the spread and only lights up under certain parameters.
The games that are targeted on Sunday are the Jaguars vs. Commanders during the 1 p.m. ET window and the Giants vs. Titans in the 4:25 p.m. ET window
The algorithm incorporates tracking data proprietary to Action Network.
Statistical significance is ensured by using a massive data set.
This algorithm has encompassed about 400 NFL games since 2005 and has gone 237-147-10 (62%) over that timeframe.
For reference, bettors must win about 52.4% of the time over the extreme long run in order to make a profit on wagers around -110.
If you had bet $100 on each game that has fit this particular betting algorithm, you'd be up about $8,210 — that's roughly $500 per year.
Compare the 21% ROI to the average annual return of the S&P 500, which has hovered at around 8% for over a century. That index is down about 15% year-to-date. Meanwhile, Bitcoin, for instance, is down about 55% during that same timeframe.
Still, despite similar principles regarding long time horizons and sample sizes, don't use this betting algorithm as an alternative to investing in the stock market. Sports betting inherently has more variance game-to-game.