Sunday Night Football Best Bets: Raiders vs Jets Picks (Week 10)
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Raiders vs Jets Odds | Sunday Night Football
| Raiders Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Point Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1 -110 | 36 -110o / -110u | -105 |
| Jets Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Point Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1 -110 | 36 -110o / -110u | -115 |
Raiders vs Jets odds for Sunday Night Football at Allegiant Stadium have New York as 1-point favorites on the spread with an over/under of 36 — by far the lowest game total of the NFL Week 10 slate.
Our NFL betting analysts have a slate of props they're eyeing for the SNF matchup, ranging from Jets vs Raiders player props on Breece Hall, Garrett Wilson and Aidan O'Connell to unique game props.
Continue reading to find our four Raiders vs Jets best bets and picks for Sunday Night Football.
Sunday Night Football Best Bets
Click on any of the picks below to navigate to a specific bet discussed in this article.
| Pick | ||
|---|---|---|
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our NFL Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | ||
Raiders vs. Jets
By Ricky Henne
Yeah, I’m backing the under in this game like pretty much everyone else — 93% of bets and 98% of money is on the under for Sunday Night Football.
But what’s the fun in recommending that?
I’m here to tell you that I’m also a big fan of Breece Hall in this spot.
Hall struggled running the ball the last two weeks behind a ravaged offensive line, but I like his chances to do damage against an abysmal Raiders run defense. Las Vegas entered Week 10 giving up the third-most rushing yards per game (138.7) and ranked 29th in defensive rush DVOA.
Saquon Barkley carried the rock 16 times for 90 yards against them last week, averaging 5.6 yards per carry. It was actually Las Vegas’ best performance in a month.
Jahmyr Gibbs (152 yards and 5.8 YPC) and Craig Reynolds (74 and 5.3 YPC) went off the week prior as the Lions totaled 222 yards on the ground. And the game before that? Well, D’Onta Foreman — who’d been a healthy scratch for weeks — ran for 89 yards and 5.6 YPC as Chicago totaled 174 rushing yards.
Count me among the believers that Hall will follow in their footsteps. In fact, I’m making a few escalator plays, which I don’t do often.
While the under is bet 1a for me, Hall going over 64.5 rushing yards is bet 1b.
Pick: Breece Hall Over 65.5 Rush Yards
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Raiders vs. Jets
By Billy Ward
As seems to be the trend recently, we have a stinker of a game on Sunday Night Football.
Both teams feature broken offenses, ranking 26th (Las Vegas) and 30th (New York) in points per game. They unsurprisingly also both rank in the 20s in pace of play in close games — though quicker overall due to plenty of negative game scripts.
Which explains the 36.5-point total, easily the lowest on the board for Sunday. The one-point spread is the bigger factor though. Collectively, games with a spread of two or less hit this prop at a 44% rate, which would be true odds of +129.
Of course, this one projects even better than that. The one-point spread is obviously on the lower end of the range for that sample. The miniscule total is also a big factor, as games checking in under 40 fail to see three unanswered scores 52% of the time.
It’s hard to come up with an exact number for both scenarios due to the extremely limited sample size, but I’d make this one a slight favorite with some back-of-the-napkin math. Which makes the +135 line more than generous.
Pick: Either Team to Record 3 Unanswered Scores: No
Raiders vs. Jets
Garrett Wilson has earned 12 targets in three consecutive games, as the entire Jets passing attack is run through him. No player in the league has a higher percentage of his teams' air yards, and Wilson is third in the league in target share at 32.3%.
Zach Wilson's erratic play will always make bettors uncomfortable playing Wilson's yardage props, but there is no denying his usage. Wilson has been the first read of passing plays for the Jets on 42.9% of attempts this year, per Fantasy Points data, which is the highest of any receiver in the NFL.
The Raiders haven't been terrible at defending the opposing team's top pass catcher when it comes to yards and touchdowns, but they have surrendered plenty of receptions when facing some of the league's best. DJ Moore had eight receptions, Amon-Ra St. Brown six, Stefon Diggs seven and Kendrick Bourne had 10.
I expect Wilson to grab six or more balls for the fourth consecutive game on Sunday night. Play Wilson over 5.5 receptions.
Pick: Garrett Wilson Over 5.5 Receptions
Raiders vs. Jets
We don't have a whole lot of a sample size so far of Aidan O'Connell, nor do we have a big sample of what this Raiders offense will look like with Josh McDaniels gone, but my guess is that this is going to be a ground-and-pound offense going forward.
O'Connell only threw the ball 25 times in his first start last week, and even though that game was a blowout, I see them continuing that going forward. He wasn't a great prospect and while the receiving corp for the Raiders is a solid one, the matchup here is rough against the Jets.
The Jets are the second-ranked pass defense, according to DVOA, and are allowing the third-most passing yards per game this season at 174.8 per game. The spread is razor thin so I don't expect this to be a game where the Raiders are forced to throw here and I have O'Connell projected a full 20 yards under this number here. I would hit this line all the way down to 198.5 here.
Pick: Aidan O'Connell Under 207.5 Passing Yards
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