The Seattle Seahawks (4-2) host the Houston Texans (2-3) in the second game of the Monday Night Football doubleheader on October 20. Kickoff from Lumen Field in Seattle, Was., is set for 10 p.m. ET. MNF will broadcast on ESPN.
The Seahawks are 3-point favorites over the Texans on the spread (Seahawks -3), with the over/under set at 41 points. Seattle is a -180 favorite to win outright on the moneyline, while Houston is +150 to pull off the upset.
Below, you can find our Texans vs Seahawks picks for Monday Night Football, which include predictions for the spread and four player props.
Texans vs Seahawks Picks & Predictions
| Game | Time (ET) | Best Bet |
|---|---|---|
  | 10 p.m. | |
| 10 p.m. | |
| 10 p.m. | |
| 10 p.m. | |
| 10 p.m. | |
Specific betting recommendations come from the sportsbook offering preferred odds as of writing. Always shop for the best price using our NFL Odds page, which automatically surfaces the best lines for every game. | ||
Monday Night Football Odds
- Texans vs Seahawks Moneyline: Texans +150, Seahawks -180
- Texans vs Seahawks Spread: Texans +3 (-105), Seahawks -3 (-115)
- Texans vs Seahawks Total: 41
Texans vs Seahawks odds via bet365
Texans vs Seahawks Spread Prediction
By Billy Ward
I’m not buying the two-week breakout for the Texans offense, which put up a total of 70 points after scoring just 38 across their first three contests. Those good games came against the Ravens and Titans, who rank 25th and 26th in DVOA against the pass.
More importantly, the Ravens have no pass rush, ranking dead last in adjusted sack rate. That was a critical element of the Texans’ success, considering their dreadful offensive line is what has held them back much of the season.
The Seahawks will be a much tougher matchup in both regards. They rank fifth in DVOA against the pass and adjusted sack rate.
We probably see the Houston passing game come crashing back to earth tonight, especially with the home-field advantage afforded by a loud Seattle crowd during a primetime game.
On the other side of the ball, Houston is extremely tough against the pass defensively (second in DVOA) but mediocre against the run (16th). This fits exactly what the Seahawks want to do offensively; they’re 30th in pass rate over expectation (PROE) on the season.
With both running backs healthy, Seattle should have no problem moving the ball downfield while taking an occasional shot to Jaxon Smith-Njigba.
While I was interested in the under for tonight's game, the total has dropped three points this week to 41.5, making Seahawks -3 the better bet.
Pick: Seahawks -3
Texans vs Seahawks Props: Woody Marks
By Brit Devine
With Christian Kirk sidelined and the Seahawks presenting as great matchup for receiving backs, Woody Marks has a line that is a little too low.
The Seahawks have allowed the most targets and receptions — and the second-most yards — to opposing RBs this season. After a bye week is when we typically start to see rookies get a slight increase in usage and playing time, and I'm counting on Marks to get that here.
Seattle has one of the toughest run defenses in the league, which could push veteran RB Nick Chubb off the field in favor of Marks, who had an excellent pass-catching resume in college.
The Texans are also slight road underdogs, which could force Marks onto the field late in the game in a trailing script.
Pick: Woody Marks Over 14.5 Receiving Yards (-114)
Texans vs Seahawks Player Props: Sam Darnold
By Kyle Murray
This game could be a potential defensive struggle as the Texans and Seahawks have solid defensive units — but this is still quite a low number for Sam Darnold.
Following Week 1, Darnold has logged 242 passing yards or more in every game in which he has not been benched.
Darnold has found that success despite fairly limited passing volume, so it is interesting that his passing yards prop is so low despite his passing attempts prop being four attempts higher than his per-game average this season.
Pick: Sam Darnold Over 219.5 Passing Yards (-110); bet to 221.5
Texans vs Seahawks Player Props: Jaxon Smith-Njigba
The matchup against the Texans isn't great, but these odds for Jaxon Smith-Njigba are too good to pass up.
Smith-Njigba has one of the largest target shares in the NFL, and the Seahawks are committed to running the ball and then using him in the passing game for the vast majority of their offense.
The Ohio State product has scored in three of the past four games and already has 42 receptions and 696 yards on the season.
He may only have three red-zone targets, but he can score from anywhere on the field.
I have the true odds here around +110.
Pick: Jaxon Smith-Njigba Anytime Touchdown (+140)
Texans vs Seahawks Prop Bet: Kenneth Walker III
Kenneth Walker remains in a frustrating split with Zach Charbonnet.
Walker is getting a decent chunk of the rushing work, but Charbonnet has been more active in the passing game. Even with missing Week 3, Charbonnet has run 11 more routes than Walker this season.
Neither running back has produced as a receiver because Seattle ranks last in RB target share. Every other team has targeted the running back at least 20 times — except the Seahawks (16).
After registering three catches on three targets in Week 1, Walker has totaled five receptions on six targets over the last five games.
This isn't the matchup for him to break out as a receiver. Houston has allowed the fourth-fewest targets and receptions per game to running backs.
Pick: Kenneth Walker III Under 1.5 Receptions (-135)
