Titans vs Bills Player Props, PrizePicks Predictions: Bet Gabriel Davis, Fade Robert Woods
Photo by Harry How/Getty Images. Pictured: Gabriel Davis (center).
Celebrate an excellent Monday Night Football matchup by betting some NFL player props with PrizePicks. The app lets you parlay player props and wager real money on them in 27 states.
I have one receiver I’m backing today and another I’m looking to fade.
Over 0.5 Receiving Touchdowns
Josh Allen is going to move the ball into the red zone. The Titans are well-coached, but this Bills offense is just too talented. Allen will look for one of his two big tight ends or his favorite big-bodied receiver.
Gabriel Davis is 6-foot-2 and 216 pounds. He’s scored a touchdown in eight of the Bills’ last 10 games, including a record four against the Chiefs in the Divisional Round last year and one in a rout of the defending-champion Rams in the 2022 season opener. Needless to say, he’s stormed onto the scene.
When you have route-running skills like this:
This route by Gabriel Davis, oh my god. pic.twitter.com/23TJSfGpGZ
— Ari Meirov (@MySportsUpdate) January 24, 2022
And hands like this:
This is still such an unreal catch from Gabriel Davis with the awareness to make the catch in bounds while tip toeing the sideline. Love how he shuffles his feet in rhythm with his hands to time the catch with the toe tap#BillsMafia #GoBills #Bills
— Anthony Cover 1 (@Pro__Ant) July 7, 2022
It’s hard not to target him downfield.
No matter which way it happens, it’s too hard to turn down throwing a Davis touchdown prop on your PrizePicks card.
Plus, Davis is staring down a Titans team that is thin at cornerback. Tennessee ranked 20th in DVOA against No. 2 wide receivers in 2021, and Roger McCreary will likely be lining up against Stefon Diggs.
That leaves plenty of room for Davis to get that touchdown.
Pick: Over 0.5 Receiving Touchdowns
Under 11 Fantasy Points
Our projection systems hate Robert Woods. The market has him set at over/under 45 receiving yards on 4.7 receptions. The Action Labs Player Props Tool has him at 38.9 receiving yards and 3.7 receptions.
According to PrizePicks fantasy score chart, this would put us at around 7.5 fantasy points. The only thing we need to avoid is a touchdown, something he’s pulled off just once in his last four games.
The Bills’ secondary took a hit with the loss of Tre’Davious White, but they looked exceptional in Week 1 against the Rams. Cooper Kupp — the best wide receiver in the league — had a monster game, but Buffalo held Allen Robinson to just one reception on two targets over 42 routes.
This defense is deep and will be able to hold Woods closer to our projections than the market price. I’d target all his unders, but I am very happy to bet the under on his fantasy points using PrizePicks.
Pick: Under 11.0 Fantasy Points