Tom Brady, Patrick Mahomes, Josh Allen, Dak Prescott Are Most Valuable QBs to Spread Among NFL Playoff Teams
Getty Images. Pictured: Bucs QB Tom Brady, Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes, Bills QB Josh Allen
Sean Koerner, our Director of Predictive Analytics and the seventh-most accurate fantasy football ranker of this season, projected the spread value of every quarterback playing on Wild Card Weekend of the 2022 NFL playoffs.
He also captures the relative value of starters on both sides of the ball for every wild-card team using a color scale, adding the approximate number of points a select few are worth to the spread. We’ve outlined those in order of this round’s matchups below the ranking of quarterback values.
Note: Each player’s value is relative to their worth to their team, the depth behind them, and other context-rich situations.
Spread Value of NFL Wild Card QBs
| Quarterback | Team | Points |
|---|---|---|
| Tom Brady | Bucs | 8.5 |
| Patrick Mahomes | Chiefs | 8 |
| Josh Allen | Bills | 6.5 |
| Dak Prescott | Cowboys | 6 |
| Joe Burrow | Bengals | 5.5 |
| Matthew Stafford | Rams | 5.5 |
| Kyler Murray | Cardinals | 5-5.5 |
| Derek Carr | Raiders | 3.5-4 |
| Mac Jones | Patriots | 3.5-4 |
| Jalen Hurts | Eagles | 3-3.5 |
| Ben Roethlisberger | Steelers | 2.5-3 |
| Jimmy Garoppolo | 49ers | 2.5-3 |
NFL Playoff Spread Values
Not every player is worth anything to the spread, but Sean rates the relative value of each wild-card team’s starters by using the following color scale. Also note that we’ve also included players’ statuses as of Thursday — we’ll update those each day.
Raiders-Bengals Values
Patriots-Bills Values
Eagles-Bucs Values
49ers-Cowboys Values
Steelers-Chiefs Values
Cardinals-Rams Values
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