Week 4 NFL Pick ‘Em Rankings: Straight Up & Against the Spread Picks

Credit:

Ric Tapia/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images. Pictured: Rams mascot

Editor’s note: This story has been updated with Sean Koerner’s pick ’em rankings as of Saturday night. Note that with Cam Newton testing positive for COVID-19, the Patriots-Chiefs game that was originally scheduled for Sunday is being postponed but has yet to be officially rescheduled. 


Straight up. Against the spread.

Whether you’re playing in your office’s (virtual) pool or in a higher-stakes contest, I’ve created pick ’em confidence ratings to help you make your picks each week — complete with a custom against the spread edge calculator.

These pick ’em ratings are based on my NFL Power Ratings, which help power the model projections in our PRO Report. They account for various factors such as travel, injuries and any news that could impact betting odds. In theory, those odds should be fairly close to my ratings, but if we can identify any differences between the two, we can exploit them.

Now let’s run through Week 4 pick ’em confidence ratings for straight up (SU) and against the spread (ATS) contests — note that these are as of mid-week, but I’ll update this story with my latest rankings on Saturday.


Jump to ATS Ratings


Week 4 NFL Pick ‘Em Rankings

These are for straight-up pick ’em pools.

Conf
Team
Opp
Win Prob%
1
Ravens
@ WAS
88%
2
Rams
vs. NYG
85%
3
Chiefs
vs. NE
84%
4
49ers
vs. PHI
76%
5
Buccaneers
vs. LAC
75%
6
Packers
vs. ATL
73%
7
Seahawks
@ MIA
70%
8
Bills
@ LV
67%
9
Cowboys
vs. CLE
65%
10
Texans
vs. MIN
0.63
11
Saints
@ DET
0.59
12
Colts
@ CHI
0.58
13
Bengals
vs. JAX
0.57
14
Cardinals
@ CAR
56%
15
Broncos
@ NYJ
54%
16
Jets
vs. DEN
46%
17
Panthers
vs. ARI
44%
18
Jaguars
@ CIN
43%
19
Bears
vs. IND
42%
20
Lions
vs. NO
41%
21
Vikings
@ HOU
37%
22
Browns
@ DAL
35%
23
Raiders
vs. BUF
33%
24
Dolphins
vs. SEA
30%
25
Falcons
@ GB
27%
26
Chargers
@ TB
25%
27
Eagles
@ SF
24%
28
Patriots
@ KC
16%
29
Giants
@ LAR
15%
30
Football Team
vs. BAL
12%

Week 4 NFL Pick ‘Em Rankings

I’ll update the embedded table featuring my ATS confidence ratings throughout the week, but your contest may use different lines, so I’ve also created this downloadable spreadsheet so you can calculate ratings specific to your pool.

Simply add the odds your contest is using into Column D, then the edge and ratings will automatically recalculate.

How would you rate this article?

Top Offers

Odds Boosts
See More >
Odds boosts are simply regular bets offered at enticing odds. They're available to everyone and there's no limit to how many you can bet.
Sportsbook Reviews
See More >
Discover the best online sports betting sites and take advantage of bonus offers from legal sportsbooks.
Expert Picks
See More >
See what plays the Action Network experts are making for all of today's games.
PRO Membership
See More >
Access betting systems and signals to get daily, actionable picks.
Download the App
See More >
Download the Action app to track all your bets in one place. Exclusive data helped you make smarter betting decisions.
Newsletter
See More >
The best sports betting newsletter with trends, insights and news - condensed in a two-minute read.
Live Odds
See More >
See live odds and the best lines for every game.

Follow Us On Social

Top Stories