Week 6 Survivor Pool Picks: Can We Trust the Packers?
Michael Reaves/Getty Images. Pictured: Aaron Rodgers.
Last week was nothing special in Survivor Pools.
Although, it does appear a lot of the entries that used the Bills vs. Steelers last week are turning their sights on the Buccaneers against the same Steelers team in Week 6.
Should we fade both? Is one a better option than the other?
Let's dive into the data and find out. Here are the projected win percentages for Week 6 and beyond.
Week 6 Survivor Pool Analysis
Now, with the help of Pool Genius, I can input my win probabilities and use their expected value calculator to see which teams are offering the most value.
Here are the top ten teams from a value standpoint in Week 7.
The issue with both teams is they are really good, and offer plenty of future value as well.
Note that the two popular options of Rams and Bucs do not appear in the list. I think both are bad plays this week; I'd rather take the Panthers moneyline than play the Rams in survivor pools this week.
In the second tier of picks, there are some intriguing options.
If you are in a very deep league or a pool where you make two picks in some weeks, I think both are decent options.
My Pick: Green Bay Packers (vs New York Jets)
In smaller pools, I believe it's fine to take the Eagles or Ravens and just scoop up the EV while you can.
In larger pools, I want to save some of that future value and take the Packers now.
Surprisingly, this is the easiest remaining game on the schedule for Green Bay — and there aren't many options left.
Coming off a bad loss to the Giants, the public perception of this team is low and are only projected to be picked 10% of the time.
Avoid the two popular teams this week and root for Aaron Rodgers and company to get back on track against the Jets in Lambeau on Sunday.