The Montreal Canadiens (5-2-0) and Calgary Flames (1-6-0) meet in the NHL tonight. Puck drop is set for 8:30 p.m. EDT at Scotiabank Saddledome in Calgary, AB. The game will be broadcast live on ESPN+.
The Canadiens are favored by -1.5 on the puck line, with the over/under set at 5.5 (-127o / +107u). The Canadiens are a -125 favorite to win outright, while the Flames are +105 to pull off the upset.
Let's get into my Canadiens vs. Flames predictions and NHL picks.
Canadiens vs. Flames Odds, Pick
| Canadiens Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +192 | 5.5 -127o / +107u | -125 |
| Flames Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -235 | 5.5 -127o / +107u | +105 |
Canadiens vs. Flames Spread: Canadiens -1.5 (+192), Flames +1.5 (-235)
Canadiens vs. Flames Over/Under: 5.5 (-127o / +107u)
Canadiens vs. Flames Moneyline: Canadiens -125, Flames +105
Canadiens vs. Flames Prediction, Pick
Our "Fade Home 'Dog off Loss at Home" NHL moneyline betting system focuses on situations where a team is at home as an underdog after dropping its last game in that same building by a narrow margin.
While it might appear that home ice and recent motivation create value, these spots often expose deeper issues. A team priced as an underdog at home after a recent home defeat usually signals lack of market trust in their roster, goaltending, or form, and the emotional lift of playing at home does not offset those gaps. Oddsmakers expect the losing trend to continue, and public bettors often overestimate bounce back potential, making it more profitable to fade these clubs despite their home setting.
Overall, this system is 873-564 (61%) and has generated a 3% ROI. This season, the system is off to a fast start, going 7-3 and producing a 17% ROI.
Best Bet: Canadiens Moneyline
