NHL Sharp Report: Pros Hitting Caps-Canes Game 6 Moneyline, Over/Under
James Guillory-USA TODAY Sports. Pictured: Warren Foegele, Matt Niskanen and Carl Hagelin
- The Capitals and Hurricanes will face off in Game 6 of their playoff series tonight in Carolina (Washington leads 3-2).
- Sharp bettors have found value on both the moneyline and over/under, and Sports Insights' Bet Signals help reveal both plays.
Home teams have owned the first five games of the Capitals-Hurricanes series. In addition to being unbeaten, the home side has outscored visitors 21-6. Home ice belongs to the Hurricanes tonight (7 p.m. ET, NBCSN), and facing elimination they opened at around a pick’em.
The earliest books to market actually had Carolina as a slight underdog, but most released their first moneyline around Carolina -110/-115. Despite the success of home teams in the series, the public has been happy to back the defending champs in each of the first five games.
And given their 6-0 Game 5 win, the Caps have once again drawn the majority of bets tonight.
But even with a 65% backing, Washington has actually become more of an underdog. The Canes are up past the -120 mark — with some books as high as -125 — and the Caps have moved into plus-money territory — up to +110 at a few shops.
Our Line Predictor is even expecting the market-wide consensus to reach Carolina -125.
If that reverse line movement wasn’t enough to reveal the sharps’ opinion, Sports Insights’ Bet Signals have triggered five instances of professional action hitting the Canes. The string of steam and reverse line moves hit Carolina at lines ranging from -109 to -119, resulting in the current number.
That wasn’t all that wiseguys felt was worth betting on this matchup, though. They’ve also triggered three Bet Signals on the under, which — while remaining at 5.5 — has seen the juice jump from +100 to -125.
Like the Canes, the under has been the less popular bet, getting just 46% of tickets. Despite that, it’s been driving significantly more actual money (74%), which means bigger bettors (who are more likely to be sharps) are expecting little scoring tonight.