The Chicago Blackhawks (3-2-2) and Tampa Bay Lightning (1-3-2) meet in the NHL tonight. Puck drop is set for 6:45 p.m. EDT at Benchmark International Arena in Tampa, Fla. The game will be broadcast live on ESPN+.
The Lightning are favored by -1.5 on the puck line, with the over/under set at 6.5 (+107o / -129u). The Lightning are a -310 favorite to win outright, while the Blackhawks are +252 to pull off the upset.
Let's get into my Blackhawks vs. Lightning predictions and NHL picks.
Blackhawks vs. Lightning Odds, Pick
| Blackhawks Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 +108 | 6.5 +107o / -129u | +252 |
| Lightning Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 -121 | 6.5 +107o / -129u | -310 |
Blackhawks vs. Lightning Spread: Lightning -1.5 (-121 ), Blackhawks +1.5 (+108)
Blackhawks vs. Lightning Over/Under: 6.5 (+107o / -129u)
Blackhawks vs. Lightning Moneyline: Blackhawks +252, Lightning -310
Blackhawks vs. Lightning Preview
The "Early High-Profile Unders" system focuses on NHL games in October that attract heavy betting attention but tend to open the season with conservative, low-scoring play.
Early in the year, teams are still finding their rhythm, systems are tight, and goaltenders are fresh, all leading to lower-scoring environments despite the public's enthusiasm for overs.
These matchups often feature marquee teams or national TV exposure, which inflates totals as casual bettors expect excitement and offense. In reality, early-season hockey is built on structure and defensive discipline, especially as coaches emphasize fundamentals.
When betting volume spikes and the public leans toward the over, value consistently emerges on the under as teams adjust to new rosters, pace, and timing, keeping scoring suppressed.
Blackhawks vs. Lightning Prediction
Overall, this system is 280-228-26 (55%) and has generated a 7% ROI.
It's also off to a strong start this season, cashing 19 of 31 picks (61%) for a 13% ROI.
Best Bet: Under 6.5
