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Tampa Bay Lightning vs St. Louis Blues Predictions, Pick, Odds for Friday, January 16

Tampa Bay Lightning vs St. Louis Blues Predictions, Pick, Odds for Friday, January 16 article feature image
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Photo Credit: Charles LeClaire-Imagn Images, Pictured: Nikita Kucherov

The Tampa Bay Lightning (29-13-3) and St. Louis Blues (18-21-8) meet in the NHL tonight. Puck drop is set for 8:00 p.m. EST at Enterprise Center in St. Louis, Mo. The game will be broadcast live on ESPN+.

The Lightning are favored by -1.5 on the puck line, with the over/under set at 5.5 (-125o / +105u). The Lightning are a -190 favorite to win outright, while the Blues are +155 to pull off the upset.

Let's get into my Lightning vs. Blues predictions and NHL picks.

Lightning vs. Blues Odds, Pick

Lightning Logo
Friday, January 16, 2026
8:00 p.m. EST
ESPN+
Blues Logo
Lightning Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
-1.5
+140
5.5
-125o / +105u
-190
Blues Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
+1.5
-165
5.5
-125o / +105u
+155
Odds via FanDuel. Get up-to-the-minute NHL odds here.
FanDuel Logo

Lightning vs. Blues Spread: Lightning -1.5 (+140), Blues +1.5 (-165)

Lightning vs. Blues Over/Under: 5.5 (-125o / +105u)

Lightning vs. Blues Moneyline: Lightning -190, Blues +155

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Lightning vs. Blues Preview

This system highlights situations where a home team comes off a comfortable win at home while their opponent also comes in with some recent success but has been on the road. The perception of momentum often inflates the price of the home side as the market expects another strong performance, but history shows that teams playing in the same building after a convincing home win are vulnerable to complacency.

At the same time, road teams traveling in off a win tend to carry sharper focus and urgency, especially when the host team may not feel the same pressure to respond.

This creates value in fading the so called fat and happy home side whose recent success can mask underlying flaws and lead to an overpriced line.


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Lightning vs. Blues Prediction

Best Bet: Lightning Moneyline

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