The Toronto Maple Leafs (25-21-9) and Calgary Flames (22-26-6) meet in the NHL tonight. Puck drop is set for 10:00 p.m. EST at Scotiabank Saddledome in Calgary, AB. The game will be broadcast live on ESPN+.
The Maple Leafs are favored by -1.5 on the puck line, with the over/under set at 6.5 (-100o / -120u). The Maple Leafs are a -115 favorite to win outright, while the Flames are -105 to pull off the upset.
Let's get into my Maple Leafs vs. Flames predictions and NHL picks.
Maple Leafs vs. Flames Odds, Pick
| Maple Leafs Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +205 | 6.5 -100o / -120u | -115 |
| Flames Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -254 | 6.5 -100o / -120u | -105 |
Maple Leafs vs. Flames Spread: Maple Leafs -1.5 (+205), Flames +1.5 (-254)
Maple Leafs vs. Flames Over/Under: 6.5 (-100o / -120u)
Maple Leafs vs. Flames Moneyline: Maple Leafs -115, Flames -105
Maple Leafs vs. Flames Preview
This system focuses on NHL favorites facing opponents who are coming off emotional division wins where they played as underdogs. After such victories, those opponents often experience a natural letdown when moving into a non-division matchup, where intensity and focus drop.
The favorite benefits from facing a team that may have overperformed in its last outing and is now overvalued by the public. Non-division games tend to have a slower pace and less urgency, which favors disciplined favorites who can capitalize on teams coming off high-effort wins.
This setup consistently rewards backing the steadier side as the opponent’s energy and execution regress toward their true level.
Maple Leafs vs. Flames Prediction
