Tammy Duckworth Has 4th-Best Odds to Be Joe Biden’s Running Mate

Credit:

Aaron P. Bernstein/Getty Images. Pictured: Tammy Duckworth, Joe Biden

Jul 30, 2020, 10:37 AM EDT

Tammy Duckworth Odds to Be Joe Biden’s Running Mate

Candidate Odds Implied Prob.
Kamala Harris -175 63.69%
Susan Rice +333 23.09%
Karen Bass +1000 9.09%
Tammy Duckworth +1300 7.69%
Elizabeth Warren +1400 6.67%
Val Demings +2000 4.76%
Michelle Obama +2500 3.85%

Odds as of July 30 and via European sportsbook Betfair. If you’re new to betting, Tammy Duckworth’s +1300 odds mean a $100 bet would net $1,300 if she’s the Democratic VP nominee. Convert more with our Betting Odds Calculator.


As Joe Biden’s self-imposed deadline to announce his running mate in the first week of August nears, buzz around who will be his pick has picked up.

Among the top contenders is Tammy Duckworth: A senator from Illinois, two-time representative and a combat veteran.

Duckworth’s odds have risen along with her national profile in recent weeks, reaching as high as +600 with a 14.29% implied probably in mid-July. That was shortly after her public clash with Fox News host Tucker Carlson, who accused the Purple Heart recipient, who lost both of her legs while serving in Iraq, of hating America.

Although Duckworth’s odds have more than doubled since — at +1300, she now has a 7.69% implied probably of joining Biden’s ticket — she’s maintained a strong position in the public consciousness due to her continued vocal opposition of the use of militarized federal law enforcement agents against protesters.


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If Biden wins in November, he would be 78 when he’s inaugurated, making him the oldest person to assume the presidency by eight years (Donald Trump was 70 when he took office). That makes Biden unlikely to seek a second term, but his choice of running mate that much more important as whoever it ends up being would be well-positioned to represent the party in 2024.

Below is a recap of how Duckworth’s odds have changed since we started tracking them on April 1.

Timeline of Tammy Duckworth’s Odds to Be VP Pick

Date Odds Implied Prob.
April 1 +2500 3.9%
May 5 +3300 2.9%
June 1 +2500 3.9%
July 15 +600 14.29%
July 30 +1300 7.69%
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@katiesrichcreek

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