Bayern Munich (4-0) and Arsenal (4-0) will face off today at 3:00 p.m. EST at Emirates Stadium in London, England.
Arsenal is favored at a +120 price, with the over/under set at 2.5 (-134o / +101u) goals.
Let's get into my Bayern vs. Arsenal prediction.
Bayern vs. Arsenal Prediction
Pick: Over 2.5 Goals & Both Teams to Score – Yes
My Bayern vs. Arsenal best bet is on the match to finish with at least three goals and both teams to score.
Bayern vs. Arsenal Odds
| Bayern Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+0.5 -150 | 2.5 -135o / 105u | +215 |
| Arsenal Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-0.5 +110 | 2.5 -135o / 105u | +120 |
Bayern vs. Arsenal Picks, Parlay
Leg 1: Over 2.5 Goals
Leg 2: Both Teams to Score – Yes
The duel between Arsenal and Bayern is set to push both clubs’ defensive limits. On paper, goals seem unlikely — these are Europe’s two best defensive teams — but the matchup points us in the opposite direction.
Arsenal leads all clubs in Europe’s top five leagues in defensive metrics, conceding just 6.1 expected goals against (xGA) in 12 domestic matches. Bayern Munich sits right behind them with 7.5 xGA in 11 Bundesliga games.
However, Bayern’s attacking power more than offsets their defensive profile. The Bavarians have scored 41 league goals and are averaging 3.5 per match in Europe, a mark matched only by PSG. They also top the expected-goals charts with 12.3 xG through four Champions League games. If any team can truly test Arsenal’s back line, it’s Bayern.
Arsenal’s attack deserves equal attention. Mikel Arteta’s side has scored 39 goals across all competitions and has failed to score in just one match all season. Since their 1-0 loss to Liverpool, the Gunners have found the net in 15 straight games.
Our internal projection model backs the play, forecasting a total of 2.80 goals in this matchup. Arsenal is projected to score 1.62 goals and Bayern 1.18. With both teams chasing a crucial result, we expect action at both ends, and more than a single goal each.
Bayern vs. Arsenal Projections
Projected Chance of Winning
| Bayern | Draw | Arsenal |
|---|---|---|
| 26.9% | 24.1% | 49.0% |
Projected Total Goals
| Bayern | Total Goals | Arsenal |
|---|---|---|
| 1.18 | 2.80 | 1.62 |
Bayern vs. Arsenal Betting Analysis
The two most in-form teams in Europe meet in a matchup likely to determine who finishes first in the Champions League league phase.
Level at the top with 12 points each, both Arsenal and Bayern are virtually assured of advancing among the top eight. Still, a win here would significantly strengthen either side’s bid for the overall top seed.
Arsenal has yet to concede a goal in the Champions League and currently leads the Premier League, sitting six points ahead of Chelsea. Mikel Arteta’s team has also won its last six matches at the Emirates with a combined score of 13-1.
Bayern, meanwhile, arrives in London with staggering momentum of its own, having won 17 of 18 matches across all competitions. The Bavarians also come off a dominant 6-2 victory over Freiburg last weekend.
Bookmakers believe home advantage will be decisive on Wednesday night in North London. As a result, the latest Arsenal vs. Bayern odds list the hosts as favourites, with a win probability exceeding 45%.
