Newcastle United (20-10-6) and Arsenal (18-4-14) will face off today at 11:30 a.m. EDT at Emirates Stadium in London, England.
Arsenal is favored at a +100 price, with the over/under set at 2.5 (-136o/+112u) goals.
Let's get into my Newcastle vs. Arsenal prediction.
Newcastle vs. Arsenal Odds, Prediction
| Newcastle Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -380 | 2.5 -136o / 112u | +270 |
| Arsenal Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 +270 | 2.5 -136o / 112u | +100 |
Newcastle vs. Arsenal spread: Newcastle +1.5 (-380), Arsenal -1.5 (+270)
Newcastle vs. Arsenal over/under: 2.5 goals (-136o/+112u)
Newcastle vs. Arsenal moneyline: Newcastle +270, Draw +260, Arsenal +100
Newcastle vs. Arsenal best bet: Under 2.5 goals
Newcastle Prediction
Newcastle is on the brink of completing a remarkable season. After lifting the EFL Cup in March, the Magpies are close to securing a Champions League berth. A win today in London would do just that.
But why stop there? A victory would also put them over Arsenal and place them second in the standings, their best-ever position since they were runner-ups to Manchester United in the 1996-97 season.
Manager Eddie Howe will have to wait until the last minute to know if some players, including Sven Botman and Joe Willock, will be fit to play. Joelinton and Kieran Trippier are ruled out, but Jamaal Lascelles returns to the squad after missing 13 months due to an ACL injury.
Newcastle beat Chelsea 2-0 last Sunday, and now visits Emirates Stadium after winning seven of their previous nine Premier League matches.
In January, they eliminated Arsenal in the EFL Cup semi-finals after beating them in both legs. They also won 1-0 at home in their previous Premier League matchup this season.
Arsenal Prediction
The pain of their Champions League elimination won't go away anytime soon, but the Gunners know they still have one job to do: secure their chance to try again next year.
A victory today would clinch them that UCL spot and the runner-up position. They would only need to sort out their lineup, which has been a perennial headache for manager Mikel Arteta throughout this injury-plagued season.
Arteta will recover Kai Havertz and Declan Rice, but their fitness will determine if they start or go to the bench. Gabriel Magalhaes and Gabriel Jesus are ruled out for this match, as well as Mikel Marino, who is suspended after seeing a red card at Anfield. Jurrien Timber and Leandro Trossard are doubtful.
Arsenal's last win came over a month ago when they beat Ipswich Town. However, last week's comeback draw at Anfield, after being down 2-0, was at least a welcome sign of their will to fight.
Their recent record against Newcastle is poor —three losses in a row between Premier League and EFL Cup— but overall history against the Magpies at Emirates Stadium favors them greatly, with 11 wins and one draw in their past 12 matchups.
Newcastle vs. Arsenal Pick
Despite Arsenal's recent failures, they are a great home team and have conceded an average of only 0.94 goals at their ground in league contests. This will be their season finale at Emirates Stadium, so we should expect their best effort.
Newcastle's away form is also notable. They have the fifth-best Premier League record as visitors and average 1.55 goals on the road.
This will be a tight and hard-fought contest. If the game is tied near the end, they might even settle for a draw since a loss would put them in danger, especially Newcastle.
The best option is to go with the total. The under offers much better odds, and their matchup history helps. In the last 10 games between these teams, nine have ended with a score under 2.5 goals.
Newcastle vs. Arsenal Pick: Under 2.5 goals (+112, FanDuel)
