Arsenal (15-2-4) and Nottingham Forest (6-12-3) will face off today at 12:30 p.m. EST at City Ground in Nottingham.
Arsenal is favored at a -185 price, with the over/under set at 2.5 (-116o / -115u) goals.
Let's get into my Arsenal vs. Nottingham prediction.
Arsenal vs. Nottingham Prediction
Pick: Arsenal to Win & Under 4.5 Goals
My Arsenal vs. Nottingham best bets are for Arsenal to win and for the game to stay under 4.5 total goals.
Arsenal vs. Nottingham Odds
| Arsenal Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-0.5 -200 | 2.5 -116o / -115u | -185 |
| Nottingham Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+0.5 +138 | 2.5 -116o / -115u | +495 |
Arsenal vs. Nottingham Picks, Parlay
Leg 1: Arsenal to Win
Leg 2: Under 4.5 Goals
Arsenal enters this contest in formidable shape. The club enjoyed a strong holiday period, recording six wins and one draw, while also advancing in two separate cup competitions. That form stands in sharp contrast to Nottingham Forest, who have endured a difficult stretch. Forest have collected just three points from their last five Premier League matches and were also eliminated from the FA Cup.
The City Ground has not provided the same home-field advantage Forest enjoyed in previous seasons. They have already lost six of their 10 home league games this campaign, a total that exceeds their number of home defeats across the entirety of last season. That vulnerability is a major concern as they prepare to host the league leaders.
Arsenal, meanwhile, have been ruthlessly efficient against bottom-half opposition. Mikel Arteta’s side boast a perfect Premier League record against teams in that bracket this season. That consistency against lesser-ranked opponents is a clear hallmark of a title contender and forms a solid foundation for this Arsenal vs. Nottingham Forest pick.
Arsenal vs. Nottingham Projections
Projected Chance of Winning
| Arsenal | Draw | Nottingham |
|---|---|---|
| 60.4% | 22.5% | 17.2% |
Projected Total Goals
| Arsenal | Total Goals | Nottingham |
|---|---|---|
| 1.65 | 2.37 | 0.72 |
Arsenal vs. Nottingham Betting Analysis
The statistical gap between these two clubs this season is significant. Nottingham Forest sit 20 points below their total at the same stage last year, a clear sign of regression. In contrast, Arsenal have moved in the opposite direction, collecting six more points after 21 matches than in each of the previous two seasons. That divergence paints a clear picture of two teams heading down very different paths.
The recent head-to-head record also favors the visitors, particularly in league play. Arsenal have won four and drawn one of the last five Premier League meetings with Nottingham Forest, including a comfortable 3-0 victory in the reverse fixture earlier this season. While Forest have occasionally troubled Arsenal at the City Ground in cup competitions, their current league form suggests a repeat is unlikely.
Another notable trend in this matchup is the lack of goals. In seven of the last nine meetings across all competitions, at least one side has failed to score. That pattern aligns with each team’s season-long numbers: Forest’s matches average 2.65 total goals, while Arsenal’s average even fewer at 2.57. Those figures reinforce the under angle of this Arsenal vs. Nottingham Forest prediction, as a high-scoring contest looks unlikely.
Check out the best soccer odds before you make your Arsenal vs Nottingham Forest picks.
