Paris Saint-Germain (1-0-0) and Barcelona (1-0-0) will face off today at 3:00 p.m. EDT at Estadi Olimpic Lluis Companys in Barcelona, Spain.
Let's get into my PSG vs. Barcelona prediction.
Barcelona is favored at a -118 price, with the over/under set at 3.5 (-105o / -135u) goals.
PSG vs. Barcelona Prediction
Picks: Both Teams To Score & Over 2.5 Goals
My PSG vs. Barcelona best bets are both teams to score and Over 2.5 goals total in this match.
PSG vs. Barcelona Odds
| PSG Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+0.5 -110 | 3.5 -105o / -135u | +270 |
| Barcelona Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-0.5 -130 | 3.5 -105o / -135u | -118 |
PSG vs. Barcelona Picks
Picks: Both Teams To Score (-250) & Over 2.5 Goals (-250)
The reigning European champions take on one of the continent's deadliest attacks in what promises to be a feat of attacking football.
Therefore, we are banking on goals by tipping Both Teams To Score & Over 2.5 Goals – Yes as part of our Barcelona vs PSG predictions.
Since Hansi Flick took over, Barcelona has had the most menacing attack in the Champions League. They have scored an average of three goals per game in this competition, 0.67 more than PSG, who lifted the trophy last season. The Blaugrana have also kept just two clean sheets in their last 10 matches in this competition, with those games averaging 4.6 goals per game.
Moreover, Lamine Yamal is also likely to start this one. The mercurial wide man came off the bench and assisted a goal in just minutes as Barcelona beat Betis this past weekend. He will no doubt contribute to what should be an enthralling encounter here, helping the goal count soar.
PSG is missing some key attacking players, but can still get on the scoresheet in Catalunya. They were also missing the likes of Ballon d'Or winner Ousmane Dembele and Desire Doue against Atalanta, but managed to record a 4-0 win. Luis Enrique’s side amassed an xG of 3.48 in that game.
Expect the visitors to get on the scoresheet despite the depleted attack, but they should struggle to keep Barcelona at bay.
Les Parisiens ran out 4-1 victors when they faced Barcelona at this ground in 2024. The first leg at the Parc des Princes was also a goal-friendly affair as the Catalan side won 3-2.
PSG vs. Barcelona Projections
Projected Chance of Winning
| PSG | Draw | Barcelona |
|---|---|---|
| 30.1% | 17.0% | 52.9% |
Projected Total Goals
| PSG | Total Goals | Barcelona |
|---|---|---|
| 1.83 | 4.26 | 2.43 |
PSG vs. Barcelona Betting Analysis
For many, this match should have been last season's Champions League final. It promises to be a blockbuster Champions League encounter as Barcelona hosts defending champions Paris Saint-Germain.
Both teams started their European campaigns in style, with Barcelona overcoming Newcastle United and PSG beating Atalanta.
Hansi Flick's La Liga champions have been formidable at home, netting at least three goals in six of their last seven fixtures.
Meanwhile, PSG's 4-0 success over Atalanta showcased their attacking talent, as Luis Enrique’s men picked up where they left off last season.
Despite the absence of Dembele, Luis Enrique's side remains dangerous, although Barcelona's Lamine Yamal could be pivotal following his impressive recent return. The game promises to be a goals-laden affair, with both sides determined to set a marker in the biggest match of the competition’s league phase.
Barcelona commands a 1.85/-118 odds-on favorite’s price as they welcome PSG to Spain. Our internal data projection model, BETSiE, forecasts 4.26xG, favoring the goal markets in the Barcelona vs PSG odds. Therefore, ‘both teams to score – yes’ has a projected 75.1% likelihood of winning, whilst the 3.5-goal line delivers a 61.6% chance for ‘overs’ bettors.
PSG vs. Barcelona Projected Starting Lineups
PSG
Chevalier; Hakimi, Zabarnyi, Pacho, Mendes; Lee, Vitinha, Zaire-Emery; Mbaye, Ramos, Barcola.
Barcelona
Szczesny; Kounde, Cubarsi, Araujo, Martin; Pedri, De Jong; Yamal, Olmo, Rashford; Lewandowski.
