Liverpool (5-0-0) and Crystal Palace (2-0-3) will face off today at 10:00 a.m. EDT at Selhurst Park in London.
Liverpool is favored at a -110 price, with the over/under set at 2.5 (-145o / +105u) goals.
Let's get into my Liverpool vs. Crystal Palace prediction.
Liverpool vs. Crystal Palace Prediction
Pick: Crystal Palace +0.5 (-109)
My Liverpool vs. Crystal Palace best bet is on Crystal Palace's +0.5 Asian Handicap.
Liverpool vs. Crystal Palace Odds
| Liverpool Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-0.5 -120 | 2.5 -145o / 105u | -110 |
| Crystal Palace Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+0.5 -118 | 2.5 -145o / 105u | +275 |
Liverpool vs. Crystal Palace Pick
Pick: Crystal Palace +0.5 (-109)
Only the two Manchester clubs, City and United, have generated a more significant expected goal total than Crystal Palace (8.5xG) after five games.
The Eagles enter matchday six of the 2025/26 season having put together a 17-match unbeaten run. That stretch of games includes an FA Cup triumph over Manchester City. It also incorporates the pre-season community shield victory on penalties over the weekend’s opponents.
Oliver Glasner’s men will need to be at their very best to make it 18 games unbeaten. The Premier League champions arrive at Selhurst Park with five victories from five, plus a 3-2 win over Atletico Madrid in the UEFA Champions League. Yet, Arne Slots’ Reds haven’t been performing as the results might suggest.
Liverpool vs. Crystal Palace Projections
Projected Chance of Winning
| Liverpool | Draw | Crystal Palace |
|---|---|---|
| 54.4% | 22.3% | 23.3% |
Liverpool vs. Crystal Palace Betting Analysis
Liverpool’s underlying data, compared to the rest of the Premier League, ranks them sixth in expected points (xPTS). The 8.5xPTS is overshadowed by five other clubs, including Crystal Palace, as it leads the division with 9.8xPTS.
Liverpool’s overperformance of 11 goals from 7.0xG is a big reason for their lowly expected position compared to the actual standings, where the Reds hold a five-point lead.
Liverpool was the fourth-least profitable team in the Asian handicap market last season, just in front of Manchester United, Tottenham, and Manchester City. Palace ended as the fifth-most profitable side, winning 19/38 handicap lines. Perhaps this unbeaten run isn't stopping anytime soon.
Liverpool vs. Crystal Palace Projected Starting Lineups
Liverpool
Alisson; Bradley, Konate, Van Dijk, Kerkez; Gravenberch, Mac Allister; Salah, Szoboszlai, Gakpo; Isak.
Crystal Palace
Henderson; Guehi, Richards, Lacroix; Munoz, Wharton, Hughes, Mitchell; Sarr, Pino; Mateta.
