Everton (8-8-5) and Aston Villa (13-4-4) will face off today at 11:30 a.m. EST at Villa Park in Birmingham, England.
Aston Villa is favored at a -151 price, with the over/under set at 2.5 (-115o / -116u) goals.
Let's get into my Everton vs. Aston Villa prediction.
Everton vs. Aston Villa Prediction
Pick: Aston Villa 1x2
My Everton vs. Aston Villa best bet is on the Villans to win outright with the best odds currently available at bet365.
Everton vs. Aston Villa Odds
| Everton Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+0.5 +115 | 2.5 -115o / -116u | +405 |
| Aston Villa Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-0.5 -160 | 2.5 -115o / -116u | -151 |
Everton vs. Aston Villa Picks, Parlay
Leg 1: Aston Villa 2x1
Leg 2: Aston Villa Asian Handicap -0.5
Leg 3: Aston Villa to Win & Under 4.5 Total Goals
Aston Villa are level on points with Manchester City after 21 matches, and they come into this game having lost just one of their last 15 competitive games, winning 13. Therefore, we are backing them to beat Everton here.
Unai Emery’s side have won their last eight Premier League games at Villa Park. During that run, they have scored an average of 2.25 goals per game and conceded just 0.63.
Everton, on the other hand, has won just one of their past seven matches.
The Toffees haven’t won a league game at this stadium since 2016. Since then, Villa have won five of the six Premier League matches between these sides at Villa Park.
Everton vs. Aston Villa Projections
Projected Chance of Winning
| Everton | Draw | Aston Villa |
|---|---|---|
| 23% | 23.9% | 53.1% |
Projected Total Goals
| Everton | Total Goals | Aston Villa |
|---|---|---|
| 0.97 | 2.52 | 1.55 |
Everton vs. Aston Villa Betting Analysis
Aston Villa continues to impress, returning 25 points from the last 10 games, more than any other team in the same period. Under Unai Emery's leadership, the team has climbed to third place, solidifying their status as a genuine title contender.
Everton has secured just one win in their last five matches, overcoming a struggling Nottingham Forest away. Although the Toffees have found more success on the road recently, they've stumbled against top-ranked teams like Chelsea.
Consequently, we expect the Villains to achieve a similar result against them.
The Villains have achieved 11 consecutive home victories across all competitions, with the aforementioned bet winning in each of these matches. Additionally, the wager has also been successful in three of the last five head-to-head encounters at Villa Park.
Although the most recent matchup between these teams at Villa Park exceeded 4.5 goals, this season has been more subdued for both sides. Villa and Everton currently fall below the league average of 2.8 goals per game. implying we should see a slower game.
