Bodo/Glimt host last season's finalist Inter in the first leg of the Champions League play-offs on Wednesday, with kick-off set for 3:00 p.m. EST at Aspmyra Stadion in Bodo, Norway.
Inter is favored at a -145 price, with the over/under set at 3.5 (+125o / -165u) goals.
Let's get into my Inter vs. Bodo/Glimt prediction.
Inter vs. Bodo/Glimt Prediction
Pick: Inter to win
My Inter vs. Bodo/Glimt best bet is on the visiting side moneyline this afternoon.
Inter vs. Bodo/Glimt Odds
| Inter Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1 +105 | 3.5 125o / -165u | -145 |
| Bodo Glimt Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1 -155 | 3.5 125o / -165u | +340 |
Inter vs. Bodo/Glimt Picks, Parlay
Leg 1: Inter to win (-145)
Leg 2: Both Teams To Score – No (+140)
Leg 3: Under 3.5 Goals (-165)
Bodo/Glimt shocked football fans around the world by qualifying for the next Champions League stage, and doing so with wins over Atletico Madrid and Manchester City. So, expect Inter to be more vigilant and unlikely to repeat the same mistakes.
Inter have won six consecutive away matches and will look to extend their streak despite the long trip to Norway.
They are enjoying a nine-match unbeaten run away from the San Siro, and their defensive solidity has been a major factor. Therefore, we are backing Both Teams To Score – No here.
The Italian side comes into this game having kept a clean sheet in its last six away matches across all competitions. This includes a 2-0 win over Dortmund in the Champions League. So while Bodo/Glimt have proven themselves to be a capable team, particularly at home, we are expecting Cristian Chivu’s team to shut them out in the play-offs first leg.
Regarding the total score, we expect fewer than 3.5 goals. Inter are in excellent form and know how to navigate tough away trips, having remained unbeaten at Bayern and Barcelona last season. This season in the Champions League, they have conceded only 0.98 xG (expected goals) per match, the fourth-best record in the competition.
Considering an Inter victory the most likely outcome, the chances of a low-scoring match increase significantly.
The three picks combined produce a +290 same-game parlay at DraftKings.
Inter vs. Bodo/Glimt Projections
Projected Chance of Winning
| Inter | Draw | Bodo/Glimt |
|---|---|---|
| 64.0% | 18.9% | 17.1% |
Projected Total Goals
| Inter | Total Goals | Bodo/Glimt |
|---|---|---|
| 2.20 | 3.28 | 1.08 |
Inter vs. Bodo/Glimt Betting Analysis
Bodø/Glimt are making their debut in the Champions League knockout phase. Although they managed to beat Manchester City and Atletico Madrid in the final two matchdays, earning a place in the top 24, the odds suggest they will fall short here.
Inter have been excellent in recent away matches, and have the pedigree in this competition to produce a thoroughly professional performance.
The Italian side has been in fine scoring form under Cristian Chivu, but defensive solidity has been the cornerstone of its European success in recent years.
Inter's defensive record carried them to the final last season, and they conceded just 0.88 goals per game in the league phase. Therefore, we should expect chances to be at a premium for Bodo/Glimt.
Denzel Dumfries is back in training for Inter, which will be brilliant news. Nicolo Barella will definitely miss the game in Norway, with a return date of March following injury, and Hakan Calhanoglu’s remains questionable for this match.
