Inter Milan faces a monumental task in the Champions League as they host Norwegian champions Bodo/Glimt at San Siro in Milan, Italy, with kickoff scheduled for 3:00 PM EST.
After a stunning 3-1 defeat in the first leg, the Italian giants must orchestrate a significant comeback at home to keep their European dreams alive.
Inter is favored at a -400 price, with the over/under set at 2.5 (-300o / +240u) goals.
Let's get into my Bodo Glimt vs. Inter prediction.
Bodo/Glimt vs. Inter Prediction
Pick: Inter to Qualify
My Bodo/Glimt vs. Inter best bet is on the home side to overcome their first-leg deficit and advance to the next round.
Bodo/Glimt vs. Inter Odds
| Bodo/Glimt Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 +134 | 2.5 -300o / 240u | +1000 |
| Inter Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 -160 | 2.5 -300o / 240u | -400 |
Bodo/Glimt vs. Inter Picks
Pick: Inter to Qualify (-125)
Inter Milan has a steep hill to climb, but their home form provides a solid foundation for a comeback. At San Siro this season, Inter has been formidable, with just four losses in 19 matches across all competitions.
More importantly, they possess the offensive firepower needed for this task, averaging 2.58 goals per game on their home turf. While a victory by three or more goals is historically rare for them in the Champions League knockout stages, the circumstances demand an aggressive approach.
The first leg was not as one-sided as the score suggests. Inter won the expected goals battle, 1.35 to 1.17, and also hit the woodwork twice. This indicates they created quality chances and were simply unlucky not to convert more.
The Italians have found the net in 13 of their last 14 home Champions League matches, a testament to their consistent offensive threat at this level.
Conversely, Bodo/Glimt’s European away record is poor. They have managed just a single victory in their last 10 continental road games, with six losses in that span. Defensively, they are vulnerable, conceding an average of two goals per game in those matches.
While Bodo/Glimt has scored in each of their last 12 European away fixtures, this tendency to concede goals opens the door for a high-scoring affair where Inter's superior quality can ultimately prevail, even without the injured Lautaro Martinez.
Bodo/Glimt vs. Inter Projections
Projected Chance of Winning
| Bodo/Glimt | Draw | Inter |
|---|---|---|
| 8.5% | 12.1% | 79.4% |
Projected Total Goals
| Bodo/Glimt | Total Goals | Inter |
|---|---|---|
| 0.80 | 3.72 | 2.92 |
Bodo/Glimt vs. Inter Betting Analysis
The game script for this second leg appears straightforward. Inter must attack from the opening whistle, and we can expect a performance that far exceeds their already impressive season average of 18.53 shots per home game.
The match should look like a prolonged siege on the Bodo/Glimt goal, with the electric San Siro atmosphere an extra motivation for the home side.
Bodo/Glimt will likely adopt a defensive posture. Their strategy will be to absorb pressure, limit space for Inter’s creators, and hit on the counterattack. This approach is not without merit; the Norwegian side proved its counter-punching ability in a 2-1 away win over Atletico Madrid, where they created five big chances with only 35% possession.
Inter must maintain defensive discipline when they commit players forward, as a single away goal for Bodo/Glimt would require Inter to score at least three just to force extra time.
Historically, these two clubs have met only three times. Before Bodo/Glimt’s 3-1 victory in the first leg, Inter had won both previous encounters back in 1978. The recent result was a historic first win for the Norwegian club against the Italian powerhouse, and only the second time a Norwegian team has defeated an Italian side in this competition.
Inter now has the difficult job of restoring the old order and securing its spot in the next round.
Check out the best soccer odds before you make your Bodo/Glimt vs Inter picks.
