Jamaica vs Brazil Odds, Pick | Women’s World Cup Preview

Jamaica vs Brazil Odds, Pick | Women’s World Cup Preview article feature image

Fred Lee/Getty. Pictured: Ary Borges.

Jamaica vs Brazil Odds

Wednesday, August 2
6 a.m. ET
Jamaica Odds+850
Brazil Odds-450
Over/Under2.5 (-150/ +115)
Both Teams to Score (Yes/No)(+162/ -225)
Odds via bet365. Get up-to-the-minute World Cup odds here.

Group F is coming down to the wire. Unless Panama beats France — which is highly unlikely — there is no way both Jamaica and Brazil can both advance into the Round of 16.

Therefore, Jamaica's meeting with Brazil in Melbourne, Australia, is pretty much a playoff to advance to the 2023 World Cup knockout rounds. Whichever nation wins this match will guarantee themselves a spot in the Round of 16.

Additionally, the undefeated Reggae Girlz (one win, one tie) are ahead of Brazil (one win, one loss) in the Group F standings, which means Jamaica would advance and Brazil would go home in the event of a draw.

This promises to be one of the most exciting matches of the Group Stage. Set that alarm, wake up early and don't miss out.

Jamaica Facing Most Difficult Test Yet

What a sophomore tournament it has been for the Caribbean Islanders. Head coach Lorne Donaldson and his staff deserve plenty of credit for setting this team up perfectly in both matches.

In the 0-0 draw with France, that meant defending deep and keeping compact lines of four in the defense and midfield. Left back Deneisha Blackwood was outstanding as she won 4/8 ground duels, notched 10 ball recoveries, had 11 clearances and won the Player of the Match Award. The Reggae Girlz' focus and concentration was second to none.

However, a late red card for Jamaica's all-time leading goalscorer, Khadija Shaw, meant they'd be without their biggest attacking threat against Panama.

Ultimately, it didn't matter.

Jamaica had enough to overpower the Central Americans and secure a 1-0 win. Of course, attempting 20 shots in that match and finishing with 1.0 xG exemplified how much they missed Shaw. The historic win was Jamaica's first at a World Cup.

Captain and center back Allyson Swaby — who scored the winning header via a corner kick against Panama —  has been Jamaica's key player. Her leadership and guidance have helped translate Donaldson's instructions from the sidelines.

In terms of predicting movements and forcing opponents to hit long balls, Jamaica has been one of the best defensive teams at the World Cup. They are one of just four nations yet to concede a goal (England, Switzerland and Japan).

However, Jamaica will be taking on its toughest test yet. Can the Reggae Girlz hold on for a tie that would help them make history by putting them into the knockout rounds? Will a Shaw get an opportunity to score her first World Cup goal?

Brazil Looking to Stabilize

What goes up must come down.

On Matchday One, Brazil turned in the performance of the round with a 4-0 thrashing of Panama in which Ary Borges scored a hat trick. Beyond the scoreline, the style of soccer the Selecao played was gorgeous — the movement was rapid and the passing was slick.

But that effort was followed by with a 2-1 defeat to France that has put Brazil's place in the Round of 16 in serious jeopardy.

Brazil wasn't particularly poor against France and with 1.6 xG, 0.4 xG more than France, they weren't far off finding a second goal. Perhaps they were unlucky it didn't finish 1-1 or 2-2. Brazil ranks fifth in the tournament with 5.8 xG.

So which Brazil shows up on Matchday Three?

Head coach Pia Sundhage has a litany of attacking players to call upon. So far, she's only made one change to her starting XI, opting to try Geyse instead of Beatriz against the French. It's likely she sticks with a similar 4-4-4-2 shape, which some experts have criticized for being too rigid.

Kerolin is a 2023 MVP candidate in the NWSL, but she's played a more reduced midfield role for the national team. The legendary Marta, one of the greatest players of all time, is playing in her sixth and final World Cup, but has been limited to 11-minute cameos off the bench.

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Jamaica vs Brazil Pick

The oddsmakers definitely aren't giving Jamaica much of a chance to win and the +850 price feels a bit high considering the team's performance so far. The Reggae Girlz are absolutely underdogs, but maybe not by that much.

However, Jamaica doesn't need to win this one, so the big odds on a draw (+650) could be a better price to chase.

Despite scoring a hat trick against Panama, Borges is also an outside bet to score first. Bet 365 is even offering a boost (+600) on that happening.

The Pick: Both teams to score (+162 via bet365)

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