Leeds United (3-7-2) and Manchester City (7-4-1) will face off today at 10:00 a.m. EST at Etihad Stadium in Manchester.
Man City is favored at a -425 price, with the over/under set at 3.5 (+126o / -171u) goals.
Let's get into my Leeds vs. Man City prediction.
Leeds vs. Man City Prediction
Picks:Manchester City to win by 2+ goals & Erling Haaland to score anytime
My Leeds vs. Man City best bets are backing City to win by two or more and Erling Haaland to score.
Leeds vs. Man City Odds
| Leeds Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 +105 | 3.5 +126o / -171u | +1000 |
| Man City Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 -150 | 3.5 +126o / -171u | -425 |
Leeds vs. Man City Picks, Parlay
Leg 1:Manchester City to Win by 2+ Goals
Leg 2:Erling Haaland to Score
Manchester City has lost back-to-back games for the second time this season. After the 2-1 defeat at Newcastle, Pep Guardiola made ten changes for the Champions League match against Leverkusen, but the initial decision to rest key players like Erling Haaland and Phil Foden backfired.
A win on Saturday against newly promoted Leeds is crucial if City wants to keep its title hopes alive. Leeds sits in the relegation zone due to goal difference and has collected only three points from its last six matches, while West Ham, the team directly above them, is trending upward.
Daniel Farke’s side has the third-worst away defense in the league and has conceded 5.58 more goals than expected, a worrying trend ahead of a trip to the Etihad.
According to our in-house projections model, BETSiE, City has a 74% chance of victory and is projected to score more than two goals.
That makes it sensible to combine a bet on the hosts to win comfortably with one on their top scorer, Erling Haaland, as part of our Manchester City vs. Leeds predictions. The Norwegian’s next goal will be his 100th in the Premier League — and Leeds looks like the ideal opponent for him to reach that milestone.
Leeds vs. Man City Projections
Projected Chance of Winning
| Leeds | Draw | Man City |
|---|---|---|
| 9.8% | 15.9% | 74.3% |
Projected Total Goals
| Leeds | Total Goals | Man City |
|---|---|---|
| 0.70 | 3.05 | 2.35 |
Leeds vs. Man City Betting Analysis
The 2-1 defeat to Newcastle has widened Manchester City’s gap to seven points behind leaders Arsenal.
On Saturday, Pep Guardiola’s team needs three points against a struggling Leeds side to stay within reach in the title race.
The visitors have lost five of their last six matches and sit on the edge of the relegation zone. Meanwhile, City has won its last five Premier League home games, scoring 16 goals and conceding just two.
Leeds has also lost its previous five visits to the Etihad Stadium, and all indicators point toward the Citizens claiming all three points.
According to the latest Manchester City vs. Leeds betting odds, bookmakers give City an 80% chance of victory in a match projected to feature at least three goals.
