Leicester City vs. Aston Villa Betting Odds and Preview: Will Villa Pull the Upset?

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Photo by Visionhaus. Pictured: Jamie Vardy

  • Leicester City is a -190 favorite over Aston Villa on Monday afternoon.
  • The Foxes have just one win in their last seven games, but Aston Villa is one of the worst teams in the Premier League.
  • Jeremy Pond provides a betting strategy for Monday's lone Premier League match.

Leicester City vs. Aston Villa Odds

  • Leicester Moneyline: -230
  • Aston Villa Moneyline: +650
  • Draw: +360
  • Total: 3
  • Time: 4 p.m. ET

Odds as of Monday morning and via DraftKings. Get up to a $1,000 sign-up bonus at DraftKings today or see more offers and reviews for the best online sportsbooks.


Another vastly important Premier League match takes center stage Monday, with Leicester City hosting Aston Villa at King Power Stadium.

Leicester City enters the match alone in fourth place in the league standings, boasting a 15-8-5 record and 54 points. The Foxes are three points clear of Chelsea and look to close out the season in good form, with hope of securing one of the league’s four Champions League berths.

Leicester City vs. Aston Villa Tale of the Tape

  • The total has stayed under 2.5 goals in Leicester City’s last three Premier League contests.
  • Aston Villa has just one road win in its last 10 league matches at Leicester City.
  • Leicester City has just one win in its last six home league tilts.
  • Aston Villa has given up at least two goals in eight of its last 10 road league games.

Can Leicester Find Its Form Again?

Things have not gone well for Leicester in the run up to this match against Aston Villa, which is stuck in the relegation zone in 19th place on just 25 points.

The Foxes have just one win in its last seven league contests, leading to a dismal 1-4-2 record. Leicester’s offense has been the definition of stagnant, getting shut out in its last three league tilts.

Leicester had been clicking on all cylinders prior to the drought that it still sits in fifth place in the league with 44.58 expected goals.

Manager Brendan Rodgers hopes things reverse, with Leicester striker Jamie Vardy expected to return after missing the last two matches with a calf injury. Vardy has been the heart and soul of the former league champion’s scoring attack, recording 17 league goals this season.

On the other side, history has not been kind to Aston Villa when visiting the East Midlands. The last time the Villans (7-16-4) won a match at Leicester was more than a decade ago during the 2004 campaign.

Aston Villa, ranked 17th in expected league goals (33.27) and losers of three consecutive league games, has also struggled in Monday league matches, going winless and losing seven of their last nine games on the day to go along with two draws.

At some point, Leicester is going to get it together and return to the kind of play that saw it win 12 of 14 matches in the early part of its campaign. I think that happens today against Aston Villa. Vardy coming back into the fold could not have come at a better time and I expect the Foxes to right the ship against one of the league’s cellar dwellers.

Back Leicester to get the win and both clubs to find the back of the net.

The Bets: Leicester City -1 (-150). Both Teams To Score – Yes (-150)

[Bet now at DraftKings. NJ, PA, IN and WV only.]

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