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Lionel Messi or Kylian Mbappe? World Cup Golden Boot Odds & Tiebreakers

Lionel Messi or Kylian Mbappe? World Cup Golden Boot Odds & Tiebreakers article feature image
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Soccrates Images/Getty. Pictured: Lionel Messi.

Lionel Messi and Kylian Mbappe will compete on Sunday with the World Cup trophy at stake, but there is also another piece of hardware on the line in Argentina vs. France: the Golden Boot.

The superstar duo are tied at the top of the World Cup scoring leaderboard, which means they are also tied in the race for the Golden Boot, the honor that is bestowed upon the tournament’s top goal scorer.

Both Messi and Mbappe have scored five goals heading into the final, but the odds are quite different for the two players. Interestingly, Messi is listed at -180 while Mbappe is +175 at FanDuel to win the Golden Boot. The reason for that is due to the first tiebreaker of assists, which would sort out a deadlock if the pair score the same amount of goals on Sunday.

Messi currently has three assists while Mbappe has two assists. Obviously, that could change in the final match. Let’s say neither player scores, and Mbappe tallies one assist in a 1-0 France win, meaning the players would be tied on goals and assists.

The next tiebreaker is least minutes played, awarding the individual who did more with less time. Mbappe (477 minutes) won’t catch Messi (570) as the PSG forward didn’t play in France’s third group game against Tunisia.

Olivier Giroud (+2400) and Julian Alvarez (+2400), the other two players listed on the market, sit on four goals heading into the final. It would take a two-goal effort from either man, or a goal and two-assist showing at the very least to win the Golden Boot.

Argentina and France will square off at 10 a.m. ET on Sunday.

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