Liverpool (12-8-6) and Nottingham Forest (7-13-6) will face off today at 9:00 a.m. EST at City Ground in Nottingham, England.
Liverpool is favored at a -125 price, with the over/under set at 2.5 (-150o / +114u) goals.
Let's get into our Liverpool vs. Nottingham prediction.
Liverpool vs. Nottingham Prediction
Pick: Liverpool Moneyline
Our Liverpool vs. Nottingham best bet is on the Reds to win.
Liverpool vs. Nottingham Odds
| Liverpool Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-0.5 -135 | 2.5 -150o / +114u | -125 |
| Nottingham Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+0.5 -110 | 2.5 -150o / +114u | +305 |
Liverpool vs. Nottingham Live Odds (Kalshi)
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Liverpool vs. Nottingham Picks, Parlay
Pick: Liverpool Moneyline
Our primary Liverpool vs Nottingham Forest pick centers on a significant scheduling advantage for the visitors. While Liverpool enjoys a period of reduced workload after their Champions League run, Nottingham Forest faces a difficult trip. They must travel to Turkey for a high-intensity match against Fenerbahce and will not return home until the early hours of Friday morning. This provides minimal preparation and recovery time for a crucial weekend game.
This physical and mental fatigue could prove decisive. Forest has also struggled to score at home this season, with just 13 goals at the City Ground, the second-lowest total in the entire Premier League. An average of just one goal per game at home is unlikely to trouble a rested Liverpool defense.
Furthermore, Forest is in turmoil off the field. Vitor Pereira is the club’s fourth permanent manager this season, a level of instability that rarely leads to positive results against top opposition.
For Liverpool, the motivation is clear. The club views Champions League qualification as a minimum requirement and needs to solidify its place in the top six. A win here is essential, especially as they look to improve an inconsistent away record that has seen them win just three of their last 11 league matches on the road.
Liverpool vs. Nottingham Projections
Projected Chance of Winning
| Liverpool | Draw | Nottingham |
|---|---|---|
| 50.1% | 24.3% | 25.6% |
Projected Total Goals
| Liverpool | Total Goals | Nottingham |
|---|---|---|
| 1.63 | 2.68 | 1.05 |
Liverpool vs. Nottingham Betting Analysis
This matchup pits a team with Champions League ambitions against one desperately trying to avoid the drop. The tactical dynamic will likely be straightforward. Forest, under new management but still in a precarious position, will almost certainly sit in a deep defensive block. They will concede possession and hope to frustrate Liverpool, a pattern seen in the last three encounters at the City Ground, where Liverpool held over 70% of the ball.
However, the reverse fixture this season provides a fascinating wrinkle. Forest secured a historic 3-0 victory at Anfield despite having just 25% possession. They achieved this by exploiting Liverpool’s vulnerability to long, direct balls, a strategy that generated 15 shots. Arne Slot’s side must prove they have learned from that humbling defeat. Recent history also favors the home side, as Liverpool has not beaten Nottingham Forest in their last three meetings, with two losses and a draw in that span. Despite these head-to-head statistics and Liverpool's status as the favorite, the context of Forest's brutal travel schedule and offensive struggles at home makes the visitors a compelling choice to finally end their winless streak against this opponent.
Check out the best soccer odds before making your Liverpool vs Nottingham Forest picks.
