Liverpool vs. Wolves Betting Odds, Picks & Predictions For Sunday Premier League: (Dec. 6)

Liverpool vs. Wolves Betting Odds, Picks & Predictions For Sunday Premier League: (Dec. 6) article feature image
Credit:

Alex Livesey – Danehouse/Getty Images. Pictured: Liverpool star Mo Salah.

  • Defending Premier League champion Liverpool hosts Wolverhampton on Sunday at Anfield.
  • The Reds are looking to get back to the top of the table in England's top flight with a victory.
  • Anthony Dabbundo gives his insight and betting breakdown on this interesting match below.

Liverpool vs. Wolves Odds

Liverpool Odds -182 [BET NOW]
Wolves Odds +525 [BET NOW]
Draw +320 [BET NOW]
Over/Under 2.5 (-143/+116) [BET NOW]
Time 2:15 p.m. ET
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After Chelsea’s 3-1 thrashing of Leeds United at Stamford Bridge, Liverpool dropped to third place on the Premier League table and needs a win against Wolverhampton on Sunday at Anfield to do so.

Liverpool is facing a foe fresh off a league win against Arsenal that moved it into 10th place in the standings in England’s top flight after a rocky start.

That said, let’s take a look at this match and see what’s in store.

Liverpool

If you look closely at Liverpool’s game with Brighton & Hove Albion, it really breaks down into a few phases.

One major change with all of the injuries piling up is that the Reds haven’t been pressing quite as much as usual. With Virgil van Dijk out, they haven’t played quite as high of a line. When they did try to press Brighton, that was when they were most vulnerable.

Brighton actually won the game on expected goals and probably deserved the point, even if it came controversially through some VAR decisions. 

Liverpool has generally played much more conservatively in possession than usual with all of the injuries that have mounted. When you play a team like Wolves, that leads to stagnant periods of neutralizing one another.

Neither team allows much access into their respective penalty areas, with Liverpool conceding the fewest passes and Wolves the seventh fewest within 20 yards of their goals.

Wolves

The injury to Raul Jimenez against Arsenal took the sting out of this already mediocre Wolves attack.

Manager Nuno Espirito Santo showed how little he thought of the Gunners when opted to play a back four. I don’t expect him to do the same against Liverpool , though. He’ll likely go back to his traditional back three, with two wing backs.

The defense has shown cracks this year, but this is a unit set up to play against bigger sides and neutralize them. Wolves are 10th in non-penalty expected goal difference, and seventh in NPxGA in 2020. Neither are as good as they were last season, in part because its defense is allowing more high quality shots than years past. 

Wolves have other attacking options they can turn to without Jimenez, but none are the central target man of the quality of Jimenez. I question Wolves’ ability to generate much of anything if Liverpool play as it did against Brighton.

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Betting Analysis & Picks

Wolves games have an almost notorious pattern to them at this point. Traditionally, they start slow, then pick up in intensity and open up in the second half.

Since Wolves will be short-handed on the attack and Liverpool short-handed defensively, it sets up for long periods of more conservative possession from the host.

For that reason, at least in the first half, I’m willing to play the total staying under the number as my top pick.

I’d also look to grab a live full-game over wager after that forecasted, slow opening 30 minutes or so if it’s still scoreless.

Pick: First Half Under 1 (+120)

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