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Manchester City vs Bayer Leverkusen Prediction, Picks, Odds for Champions League Matchday 5

Manchester City vs Bayer Leverkusen Prediction, Picks, Odds for Champions League Matchday 5 article feature image
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Nathan Ray Seebeck-Imagn Images. Pictured: Erling Haaland

Bayer Leverkusen (1-1-2) and Manchester City (3-0-1) will face off today at 3:00 p.m. EST at Etihad Stadium in Manchester, England.

Man City is favored at a -425 price, with the over/under set at 3.5 (-115o / -120u) goals.

Let's get into my Leverkusen vs. Man City prediction.

Leverkusen vs. Man City Prediction

Picks: Erling Haaland To Score & Under 0.5 First Half Goals For Leverkusen
My Leverkusen vs. Man City best bet is on Erling Haaland to score in this match and no goals for Leverkusen in the first half.

Leverkusen vs. Man City Odds

Leverkusen Logo
Tuesday, Nov 25
3 p.m. ET
Man City Logo
Leverkusen Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
+2
-130
3.5
-115o / -120u
+1000
Man City Odds
SpreadTotalMoneyline
-2
-115
3.5
-115o / -120u
-425
Odds via DraftKings. Get up-to-the-minute CHAMPIONS odds here.
DraftKings Logo

Leverkusen vs. Man City Picks, Parlay

Leg 1: Erling Haaland To Score & Under 0.5 First Half Goals For Leverkusen (-116)
Leg 2: Manchester City To Win (-500)

Manchester City have steadily improved in all areas of the pitch, and have looked particularly strong in the Champions League.

Erling Haaland is undoubtedly the star, so we are backing him to score and Pep Guardiola’s team to shut the visitors out in the first half as part of our Manchester City vs Leverkusen predictions.

Haaland has scored five goals in the league phase; only Victor Osimhen has netted more. Erling is particularly lethal at the Etihad. Since Tottenham beat them in their first home game, City has played seven other matches on their ground, with Haaland scoring in all of them.

The Norwegian striker is firing for both club and country. He scored four goals during the last international break, culminating with two goals in the 4-1 win over Italy.

City has also tightened things up defensively, especially in the first half. Pep’s side has conceded just one first-half goal in the Champions League this season, and that came against Monaco, away from the Etihad.

We are also backing the team to continue its strong start in the Champions League by tipping it to win.

Since that first home defeat against Tottenham, City has been perfect at the Etihad, winning seven consecutive matches. During that winning run, Pep’s team has scored an average of 3.14 goals per game, while conceding 2.71.

Leverkusen vs. Man City Projections

Projected Chance of Winning

LeverkusenDrawMan City
11.3%15.9%72.8%

Projected Total Goals

LeverkusenTotal GoalsMan City
0.813.292.48

Leverkusen vs. Man City Betting Analysis

Leverkusen aims to qualify for the playoffs, just as it did last year. The Germans have the poor finishing of Benfica's forwards to thank for securing a precious 1-0 victory in the previous round.

German teams generally struggle at the Etihad, where Manchester City have won their last 13 home games against German opposition in the Champions League by an aggregate score of 49-13.

Except for the 2-2 draw in Monaco, Manchester City’s journey in the Champions League has been excellent so far.

They haven’t trailed at any point in the UEFA Champions League this season and have led for 62% of their total match time.

The Citizens' average of 65.25% possession is the second-highest in the Champions League, behind only PSG. As a result, we should expect the home side to dictate the flow of this game.

Picks: Erling Haaland To Score & Under 0.5 First Half Goals For Leverkusen (-135, DraftKings)

Playbook

Leverkusen vs. Man City Projected Starting Lineups

Leverkusen

Flekken; Andrich, Bade, Tapsoba; Poku, Maza, Garcia, Grimaldo; Hofmann, Tillman; Schick.

Man City

Donnarumma; Nunes, Dias, Gvardiol, O'Reilly; Gonzalez, Foden, Silva; Cherki, Haaland, Doku.

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