Manchester City (4-1-1) heads to Norway for a critical Champions League group stage match against Bodo/Glimt (0-3-3), with kickoff set for 12:45 p.m. ET at Aspmyra Stadion in Bodo, Norway, on Tuesday.
With a direct spot in the Round of 16 on the line for the visitors, this matchup presents a clear dynamic against a Norwegian side that has already faced elimination.
Man City is favored at a -275 price, with the over/under set at 2.5 (-300o / +240u) goals.
Let's get into my Man City vs. Bodo Glimt prediction.
Man City vs. Bodo Glimt Prediction
Pick: Manchester City -0.5 First Half Asian Handicap (-125)
My Man City vs. Bodo Glimt best bet is on the Citizens to establish an early lead and win the first half.
Man City vs. Bodo Glimt Odds
| Man City Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
-1.5 -110 | 2.5 -300o / 240u | -275 |
| Bodo Glimt Odds | ||
|---|---|---|
| Spread | Total | Moneyline |
+1.5 -130 | 2.5 -300o / 240u | +475 |
Man City vs. Bodo Glimt Picks
Pick: Manchester City -0.5 First Half Asian Handicap (-125, bet365)
Manchester City understands the importance of a top-eight finish in the new Champions League format. Last season, a 22nd-place finish forced them into a difficult playoff, a fate they want to avoid. This requires wins, and their strategy in Europe points toward early aggression. The team consistently starts strong, a fact supported by their scoring patterns.
In this season's Champions League, City scores an average of 1.37 goals in the first half, a number that drops significantly to 0.67 after the break. This trend is even more pronounced on the road, where the English club has failed to score a single second-half goal. This data suggests a clear game plan: attack early, secure a lead and manage the game.
This approach matches up perfectly against a vulnerable Bodo/Glimt defense. The Norwegian club has the worst defensive metrics in the entire competition, with an expected goals against (xGA) of 17.2. In four of their six Champions League matches, they have allowed opponents to generate an xG of 3.0 or more.
While they have sometimes kept games close in the first half, they have not faced an offensive machine with the motivation that City brings.
Man City vs. Bodo Glimt Projections
Projected Chance of Winning
| Man City | Draw | Bodo Glimt |
|---|---|---|
| 73.8% | 14.0% | 12.2% |
Projected Total Goals
| Man City | Total Goals | Bodo Glimt |
|---|---|---|
| 2.62 | 3.49 | 0.87 |
Man City vs. Bodo Glimt Betting Analysis
This match marks the first-ever competitive meeting between Bodo/Glimt and Manchester City. In fact, City has never before faced an opponent from Norway.
History, however, offers a clear trend for such matchups. The last nine English teams to travel to Norway for a major European competition have all avoided defeat, with a combined record of six wins and three draws.
Bodo/Glimt’s own record against English opposition is a cause for concern for the home side. They have lost five of their six previous encounters, and in each of those losses, they conceded at least two goals. Their only positive result was a 2-2 draw earlier this season against Tottenham.
City’s objective is clear: win their final two games to guarantee a top-eight spot and bypass the playoff round. After a confidence-boosting 2-1 away victory against Real Madrid on matchday six, Pep Guardiola’s side will look to control this game from the start. They should dominate possession and create a high volume of scoring chances.
One factor to consider is squad management. This game follows a Manchester Derby and precedes a difficult run of matches, so Guardiola may rotate some players.
However, City’s depth and the high stakes of the competition should ensure they field a team more than capable of handling a Bodo/Glimt side that is already out of the tournament and has not played a competitive match in over a month.
Check out the best soccer odds before making your Bodo/Glimt vs Man City picks.
