Manchester City (3-3-2) and Monaco (4-3-1) will face off today at 3:00 p.m. EDT at Stade Louis II in Monaco, France..
Man City is favored at a -200 price, with the over/under set at 3.5 (+107o / -140u) goals.
Let's get into my Man City vs. Monaco prediction.
Man City vs. Monaco Betting Analysis
The last meeting between these two teams took place in the 2017 UEFA Champions League Round of 16. Monaco earned progression with a memorable 3-1 victory at the venue where both teams will meet on Wednesday. The Monaco win followed an eight-goal thriller (5-3) in Manchester in the first leg.
The Citizens kicked off that first leg in Manchester at similar odds to what they’re being priced for Wednesday’s clash in France.
Such is the spending power and dominance that has followed City since their last meeting, it’s no surprise to see Pep Guardiola’s team as 1.44/-227 favorites in the Monaco vs Manchester City odds.
The bookmakers have handed Monaco a +1.25 Asian handicap line. That might tempt many bettors, with the Ligue 1 outfit much more comfortable playing at home than they are on their travels. Monaco slumped to an underwhelming defeat against Club Brugge on matchday one. They were outfought, outplayed, and outclassed by the Belgians.
The market saw a correction in the odds for the Club Brugge versus Monaco fixture ahead of the match on matchday one in the Champions League. Monaco was initially given the favorites tag in the buildup to the first week of the competition. Then the market moved heavily in favor of the Belgians. It’ll be interesting to see whether that was a pro-Club Brugge price correction or whether the price change was an anti-Monaco move.
There might also be many punters who watched that Monaco performance on matchday one who now question how it’s possible to earn a result against Erling Haaland and company.
The -1.25 Asian handicap on Manchester City will require a two-goal winning margin for profits. However, if a one-goal deficit is the most City can muster, bettors are afforded half-stakes returns to lessen the handicap loss.
An Asian goal line of over and under 3.0 suggests we might see plenty of goalmouth action in France on Wednesday. BETSiE, our internal projection model, forecasts a 60.1% likelihood of ‘both teams to score – yes’ being a successful selection for punters. The 57% chance of the game venturing over the 3.0 goal line might tempt bettors even more.
